Banque de France, PSE and CEPII : “After the collapse, the reshaping of trade” - 25^th and 26^th May

“After the collapse, the reshaping of trade”

Paris 25^th-26^th May.
The topic will be the reshaping of trade after the collapse observed at the end of 2008/at the beginning of 2009.
Focused on the question of the recovery of trade, the conference will be divided into three sessions:
1) Is the crisis of trade over?
2) Developed countries back to growth?
3) Reshuffling of trade in favour of emerging countries
Recent academic papers will be presented in these sessions and two lectures will be made:

• Francois Bourguignon (PSE G-MonD): Can Africa benefit from the trade rebound?
• Kevin O’Rourke (Trinity College): The 2008-2009 trade collapse in historical perspective
  A round table chaired by Marc Roscam Abbing (CPB) will conclude the conference.

  The conference will take place in PSE on the 1^st day (Campus Jourdan, “Grande Salle”, 48 Boulevard Jourdan, 75014 PARIS) and in Banque de France on the 2^nd day (48-50 Rue Notre-Dame-des-Victoires, 75002 PARIS). The conference is open by invitation only.
  To attend this conference, please contact us at the following mail address:1404-reshapetrade-ut at banque-france.fr

Organizing Committee of the Conference :
Jean-Charles Bricongne (Banque de France)
Lionel Fontagné (PSE-Paris1, CEPII, Banque de France)
Matthieu Crozet (PSE-Paris1, CEPII)

Program

25^th May Venue: PSE, Campus Jourdan, “Grande Salle”
14:15 Registration

• 14:45 Welcome address Christian Pfister (Banque de France)
• 15:00 Opening lecture François Bourguignon (PSE G-MonD): Can Africa benefit from the trade rebound?
• 15:30 Session 1: Is the crisis of trade over? Chair: Christian Pfister (Banque de France)
  > 15:45 Linda Tesar, Andrei Levchenko (Michigan U.) Asymmetry in trade collapse and trade recovery factors
  16:15 Coffee break
  > 16:30 Abdul Abiad / Prashi Mishra / Petia Topalova (IMF) How does trade evolve in the aftermath of financial crises?
  > 17:00 Daria Taglioni (World Bank) Is the pre-crisis model of South export-led growth over?
  > 17:30 General discussion introduced by Matthieu Bussière (Banque de France)
  18:00 Adjourn

26^th May Venue: Banque de France, 48-50 Rue Notre-Dame-des-Victoires, 75002 PARIS
9:00 Welcome coffee

• 9:30 Session 2: Developed countries back to growth? Chair: Gunther Capelle-Blancard (CEPII)
  > 9:45 Filippo di Mauro (ECB) Recovery and Beyond: Lessons for trade and competitiveness
  > 10:15 Bernard Hoekman (World Bank) Rebalancing the global economy: a primer for policy making
  10:45 Coffee break
  > 11:00 Jonathan Eaton (Penn State) Global rebalancing with gravity: measuring the burden of adjustment
  > 11:30 General discussion introduced by Thierry Mayer (Sciences Po, CEPII)
• 12:00 Lecture: Kevin O’Rourke (Trinity College): The 2008-2009 trade collapse in historical perspective
  12:45 Lunch
• 14:15 Session 3: Reshuffling of trade in favour of emerging countries Chair: Thierry Verdier (PSE)
  > 14:30 Nicolas Berman (HEI) Philippe Martin (Sciences Po) The vulnerability of sub-Saharan Africa to the financial crisis: the case of trade
  > 15:00 Yvan Decreux (ITC), Lionel Fontagné (PSE-Paris 1, CEPII, Banque de France) Multilateral trade liberalisation and the gains for emerging countries.
  > 15:30 Alessandro Nicita (UNCTAD) Is protectionism on the rise? Assessing national trade policies during the crisis of 2008
  > 16:00 General discussion introduced by Frank van Tongeren (OECD)
  16:30 Coffee break
• 16:45 Round table:
  Chair Mark Roscam Abbing (CPB) Marc Bacchetta (WTO), Fabien Besson (Direction Générale du Trésor), Lucian Cernat (European Commission, DG Trade), Willem van der Geest (former ITC), Stéphanie Guichard (OCDE), Pierre Jacquet (AFD), Romain Rancière (PSE)
  18:00 Adjourn