Seminars

GSIE Lunch Seminar

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Upcoming events

• Monday 22 October 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle S/19

  TRESA Enxhi (Paris 13 - Paris 1) : *

• Monday 12 November 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle 116

  TIAN Lin (INSEAD) : *

• Monday 26 November 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle 116

  BENASSY-QUERE Agnès (Paris 1 - PSE) : Taxing capital and labor when both factors are imperfectly mobile internationally

  Hippolyte d'Albis (PSE), Amélie Schurich-Rey

• Monday 10 December 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle 116

  HASANNUDIN ZENATHAN (Paris 1 ) : *

• Monday 14 January 2019 13:00-14:00

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• Monday 28 January 2019 13:00-14:00

  ALVAREZ Bastien : *

• Monday 11 February 2019 13:00-14:00

  KOENIG Pamina (PSE) : *

• Monday 11 March 2019 13:00-14:00

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• Monday 25 March 2019 13:00-14:00

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• Monday 8 April 2019 13:00-14:00

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• Monday 20 May 2019 13:00-14:00

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• Monday 3 June 2019 13:00-14:00

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• Monday 17 June 2019 13:00-14:00

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Archives

• Monday 15 October 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle 114

  TABARKI Badis (Paris 1 - PSE) : *

• Monday 1 October 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle S/2

  ASSEM Hoda (PSE) : *

• Monday 17 September 2018 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle S/2

  WIBAUX Pauline (Paris 1 - PSE) : Trade Retaliation

  Davide Furceri (IMF), Chris Papageorgiou (IMF)

• Monday 4 June 2018 13:00-14:00

  Salle R2-20, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris

  VOLPE Christian (Inter-American Development Bank) : Information and Exports: Firm-Level Evidence from an Online Platform

  Abstract

  Lack of information is an important trade barrier. Online platforms connecting firms can reduce this barrier and thereby affect firms’ exports. We examine whether this is the case by focusing on a free online business platform that, by the end of 2016, connected more than 16,000 firms from almost a hundred countries. In particular, we estimate the impact of using the platform on firms’ export outcomes, along both the intensive and extensive margins, exploiting data on firms’ participation in this platform along with customs data from Peru for the period 2010-2016. In so doing, we apply an instrumental variables approach whereby firms’ use of the business platform is instrumented with information on the distribution of emails announcing its launching by Peru’s national trade promotion organization. Consistent with the interpretation of the platform as an information cost-reducing mechanism, our results suggest that its utilization allowed firms to expand their exports by primarily increasing the number of products they sell abroad and enlarging their buyer base.

• Monday 9 April 2018 13:00-14:00

  Room S19 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  HASANNUDIN ZENATHAN (Paris 1 ) : *

• Monday 26 March 2018 13:00-14:00

  Room S19 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  LIGONNIERE Samuel (ENS Paris Saclay) : Fisherian Deflation and Debt Maturity

  Abstract

  How does debt maturity structure affect Fisherian deflation? By introducing debt maturity in a Fisherian deflation model, I demonstrate how it could trigger financial crises. Using a stock-flow analysis, I show that long-term debt could alleviate the risk of current binding collateral constraint, but an excessive reliance could generate future binding collateral constraints over long horizons. It is empirically confirmed by a study based on 122 developing countries over the period 1970-2012. I highlight that debt maturity structure is a good early-warning indicator of Fisherian deflation, which provides information that adds up to the level of external debt.

• Monday 12 March 2018 13:00-14:00

  Room S19 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  *

• Monday 12 February 2018 13:00-14:00

  Room S19 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  REVERDY Camille (ITC, UNCTAD-WTO) : The Export Potential of Services

  Yvan Decreux and Julia Spies

• Monday 29 January 2018 13:00-14:00

  Room S3 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  LEYVA Jaime (Paris 1, PSE) : International Banking Flows, The Global Financial Cycle and Local Developments

  Abstract

  The Global Financial Cycle has received a big attention in the last years. Many works have found a significant and negative mean effect of some Global Financial Cycle proxies such as the VIX in risky asset prices, capital flows and leverage across different countries. This paper tries to assess the importance of the Global Financial Cycle in explaining international banking flows conditioning on the heterogeneous response of local variables to global shocks. We use the correlated part of local stock market volatility with the US stock market volatility to quantify the heterogeneous local response to global high uncertainty periods and then we test the explanatory power of the country-specific response to global shocks in a panel of international banking flows to Small Open Economies. Our results seem to asses that there is an active coordination behaviour of the Global Banking system to more exposed countries under high uncertainty periods, and taking into account the heterogeneous responses in stock markets outperforms the explanatory power of a common Global proxy of volatility. Finally, we develop a Small Open Economy DSGE model in which we analyse the impact of international interest rate shocks under different degrees of financial frictions in the local banking system to explain the heterogeneous response of local economic variables and capital flows under a global shock.

• Monday 15 January 2018 13:00-14:00

  Room R1-15, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris

  HERGHELEGIU Cristina (Paris 1, PSE) : Firm adjustment to customs-driven administrative barriers

  Abstract

  This paper analyzes how firms adjust to administrative barriers. Relying on a highly detailed dataset including the universe of Russian transactions over the period 2012-2015, we seek to identify the impact of customs-specific time delays on exports flows. We focus on firm-to-firm trade and show that the time delays induced by customs clearance negatively affect firm-to-firm exports, even after controlling for other potentially confounding factors. We further explore the role of Incoterms used as a tool to delimit the risks between the exporting and importing firms throughout the shipping process. Our results show that export flows are significantly higher when exporters take full control over export clearance.

• Monday 11 December 2017 13:00-14:00

  Room S3 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  PANON Ludovic (Sciences Po) : The Cost of Not Getting Along: Interstate Tensions and International Trade

  Florin Cucu (Sciences Po)

  Abstract

  In this article, we provide evidence of the impact of interstate tensions on international trade. Using a large panel data set on asylum applications in the EU from 2002 to 2015, we develop a novel measure of interstate tensions based on refugee admission rates. Humanitarian conditions in the origin country explain little of the variation in approval rates, asylum policies being often used by governments as a foreign policy tool. Specifically, countries are more likely to accept refugees from rival countries. We then study the impact of this measure on trade flows between the EU and the rest of the world. We find that a one percentage point increase in our asylum policy based measure leads to a drop in trade ranging from 1% to 4%. Taking into account endogeneity concerns, we also exploit the variation in asylum policy across European countries as an instrumental variable and find that a change of 1 percentage point in our measure entails a drop in trade flows of 1% to 4% from one year to the next.

• Monday 13 November 2017 13:00-14:00

  Room S3 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  COTTERLAZ Pierre (Sciences Po) : The Percolation of Knowledge across Space

  Arthur Guillouzouic Le Corff (Sciences Po)

  Abstract

  This paper provides an explanation for the persistent spatial frictions in knowledge diffusion. We argue that the underlying spatially-clustered network of innovators contributes to generating the effect attributed to distance on international knowledge flows. First, we present evidence that knowledge disseminates within a network of firms by delving into their citation behaviour. We find that firms are more likely to cite patents known by their contacts than comparable patents unknown by their contacts. We then incorporate this finding into a dynamic network formation model. The theoretical predictions hold remarkably well in the data: innovator sizes are Pareto distributed, and an increasing relationship exists between the size of an innovator and the distance at which it cites. Combining these two features is sufficient to generate a negative distance elasticity of knowledge flows.

• Monday 16 October 2017 13:00-14:00

  Salle S/3, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  EL MALLAKH Nevine : Disentangling channels of FDI spillover: Evidence from India

  Abstract

  Governments spend large amounts of resources in order to attract multinational companies to their country, based on their belief that such companies generate positive spillovers to domestic firms. Although the existence of positive externalities correlated to FDI presence has been proved for the US, concerns on the significance of these effects for developing countries were raised. Also the literature has not provided empirical evidence on the validity of the channels leading to these effects. For these reasons, this paper exploits FDI reforms and Trade liberalization episodes in India in the early 1990’s to disentangle channels of FDI spillover on productivity of domestic firms; namely, the technical know-how and the foreign competition channels. Using firm level data on the period (1989-1997), we are able to identify the two main channels. Results confirm positive technological spillover through imported inputs as well as positive foreign competition. Findings also suggest that these channels are stronger for industries that are relatively more capital intensive and medium sized firms.

• Monday 2 October 2017 13:00-14:00

  Salle S/3, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  LAENGLE Katharina (Paris 1, PSE) : Global value chains and labor market adjustments

  Abstract

  The question how offshoring affects domestic workers has been subject to empirical studies for decades. Many analyses based their work on traditional trade data as a proxy for offshoring. However, these statistics fall short in depicting intertwinings of supply chains and how foreign production factors enter domestic production. For that reason, this paper quantifies offshoring in terms of value added thus allowing to trace back how much foreign capital and labor enter domestic production. Using data from the WIOD, effects are analyzed for 14 sectors in 16 countries between 1995 and 2008. Regarding low skilled workers, results confirm implications of the model by Grossman & Rossi-Hansberg (2008). Accordingly, offshoring proved to positively influence domestic low skilled workers’ wage shares, when their tasks were moved abroad. Yet, model assumptions and the empirical setup of this paper diverge thus question the mechanisms highlighted by GRH. Importantly, the growing share of foreign capital in production negatively affects low skilled workers' wage share while positively influencing that of high skilled. Consequently, findings suggest that offshoring benefits high skilled workers and harms low skilled.

• Monday 25 September 2017 13:00-14:00

  Salle S/3, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  KAZAKOVA Ekaterina (Mannheim) : Export Platforms and Multinational Demand Risk Diversification

  Abstract

  This paper analyzes the effects of correlated aggregate demand shocks on multinational firms’ structure. Accordingly, we build a structural model featuring global production and demand risk in which heterogeneously risk averse managers decide on the location of production plants, the set of countries to serve from these plants, and the volume of sales. These decisions hinge on the expected market demand, and the variance-covariance of the demand shocks in destination markets. The identification of firm-specific risk aversion coefficients follows from existence and uniqueness of the firm’s optimal sales portfolio. The empirical analysis uses firm-level data on German multinational companies. Our results support the existence of MNE’s diversification strategies when producing and selling abroad.

• Monday 19 June 2017 13:00-14:00

  Salle S/19, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  IODICE Irène (Paris 1, Sant'Anna-Pisa) : *

• Monday 22 May 2017 13:00-14:00

  Salle S/19, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'hôpital, 75013 Paris

  WIBAUX Pauline (Paris 1 - PSE) : *

• Monday 24 April 2017 13:00-14:00

  Salle S/19, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'hôpital, 75013 Paris

  OURENS Guzman (FNRS and IRES -Université catholique de Louvain) : *

• Monday 27 March 2017 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S/19) 75013 Paris

  OZGUZEL Cem : Learn and Return: Learn and Return: Productive Knowledge Diffusion through Migrant Workers

• Monday 13 March 2017 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S/19) 75013 Paris

  GIGOUT Timothée (Banque de France) : *

• Monday 27 February 2017 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S/19) 75013 Paris

  HERGHELEGIU Cristina (ENS-PSE) : *

• Monday 13 February 2017 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S/19) 75013 Paris

  CLAVERES Guillaume (Paris 1-PSE) : European unemployment insurance

• Monday 30 January 2017 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S/19) 75013 Paris

  PITON Sophie (PSE) : Economic Integration and the Non-tradable Sector: The European Experience

  Abstract

  Abstract:
  This article shows that not only market integration but also financial and monetary integration can affect the dynamics of the non-tradable sector. And if the non-tradable sector expands relative to the tradable sector, economic integration can lead to a transitory accumulation of current account deficits. Adapting a model of structural change for a small open economy with a tradable and a non-tradable sector, this paper shows that market and financial integration lead to a relative price increase which can result in a relative expansion of the non-tradable sector. Financial integration also fosters a temporary demand boom in peripheral economies, leading to an expansion of the non-tradable sector and an accumulation of current account deficits. Using a novel data set for 16 countries of the Euro area, this article documents the expansion of the non-tradable sector over 1996-2007 in the Euro area periphery --significant even when excluding the housing sector from the sample. This expansion happened simultaneoulsy to (i) faster productivity growth in the tradable sector than in the non-tradable sector (ii) declining long-term nominal interest rates. In Greece, the fall in the interest rate over 1996-2007 explains up to 13% of the expansion of the non-tradable sector, and together with the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) effect, these effects account up to 80% of its variations.

• Monday 5 December 2016 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S115) 75013 Paris

  LEBASTARD Laura (Paris Sud - Paris Saclay) : *

• Monday 21 November 2016 13:00-14:00

  MSE (106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S115) 75013 Paris

  SANDOZ Charlotte (Banque de France) : Firm Variable Trade Costs, Aggregate Productivity Growth and Misallocation

  Abstract

  Productivity growth is depressed in many developed countries since the end of 2000s. Literature has shown that market frictions reduce aggregate productivity growth by generating resource misallocation. However few studies have introduced traded intermediate inputs in these frameworks. International trade costs considerably decreased in the beginning of 2000s, but only some active firms in the international markets benefit from it. I provide new evidence that traded intermediate inputs generate TFP dispersion without creating misallocation. I estimate a structural model using a comprehensive dataset of French firms in manufacturing industries. I then implement a TFP decomposition to quantify the contribution of allocative efficiency in France between 1999 and 2010. I find that the misallocation slowdown contributes positively to the aggregate productivity growth between 2001 and 2006.

• Monday 7 November 2016 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S115) 75013 Paris

  SANDOZ Charlotte (Banque de France) : *

• Monday 24 October 2016 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S115) 75013 Paris

  ADNIN Zenathan (cnrs) : *

• Monday 10 October 2016 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S115) 75013 Paris

  CLAVERES Guillaume (Paris 1-PSE) : *

• Monday 26 September 2016 13:00-14:00

  MSE(106, Blv de l'Hôpital, salle S115) 75013 Paris

  PARENTI Mathieu (ULB - ECARES) : *

• Monday 30 November 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  HINZ Julian : *

• Monday 16 November 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  MONASTYRENKO Evgenii (Paris 1 - PSE) : Cross-border M&As and eco-environmental performance of European energy utilities

• Monday 2 November 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  LOPEZ FORERO Margarita (Paris 1/PSE) : *

• Monday 19 October 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  SANDOZ (BRAGARD) Charlotte (Paris 1/PSE) : *

• Monday 12 October 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  STEMMER Michael A. (Paris 1) : *

• Monday 5 October 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  RAY Anna (Sciences Po/Paris 1) : *

• Monday 14 September 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S18

  WORACK Stephan (Paris 1) : The Changing Nature of Chinese R&D and Technological Collaboration: Evidence from European Patent Data

• Monday 23 February 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  STREINGRESS Walter (Banque de France / Université de Montréal) : TBA

• Monday 9 February 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  RAY Anna (PSE / Sciences Po) : TBA

• Monday 12 January 2015 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  DUSSAUX Damien (CERNA / MINES ParisTech) : TBA

• Monday 15 December 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S17

  PITON Sophie (PSE) : TBA

• Monday 1 December 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S17

  BEESTERMOELLER Matthias (Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich) : A Dissection of Trading Capital: Cultural persistence of trade in the aftermath of the fall of the Iron Curtain

  Abstract

  We show that the countries of the former Austro-Hungarian monarchy trade significantly more with one another in the aftermath of the collapse of the Iron Curtain than predicted by a standard gravity model. This trade surplus declines linearly and monotonically over time. We argue that these findings suggest that decaying cultural forces explain a significant part of trading capital. We document the rate of decay of these cultural forces.

• Monday 24 November 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S17

  AUBRY Amandine (IRES-Université Catholique de Louvain) : Migration, FDI and the Margins of Trade

• Monday 17 November 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S17

  NUNEZ Thais (Paris School of Economics / Paris 1) : International Waste Trade: The Impact of European Regulation on World Trade

• Monday 10 November 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  GRUJOVIC Anja (University of Geneva) : Trade and long term unemployment: A quantitative assessment

  Co-author(s) Céline Carrère and Frédéric Robert-Nicoud

  Abstract

  We develop a multi-country, multi-sector, trade gravity model with labour market frictions and long-term equilibrium unemployment. We find that trade liberalisation may lead to a rise in unemployment if it results in labour reallocation towards sectors with higher-than-average labour market frictions. We calibrate the model using panel trade data and estimated sector-specific labour market frictions to quantify the employment and welfare effects of the potential Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) on OECD countries.

• Monday 6 October 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  PEDRONO Justine (Aix Marseille School of Economics) : Banking leverage with two funding currencies

• Monday 6 October 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  PEDRONO Justine (Aix Marseille School of Economics) : Banking leverage with two funding currencies

• Monday 29 September 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  XU Meina (PSE) : Intermediaries and quality sorting in China

• Monday 29 September 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  XU Meina (PSE) : Intermediaries and quality sorting in China

• Monday 22 September 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  RAY Anna (Paris School of Economics / Sciences Po) : The Anatomy of Foreign Direct Investment — World Greenfield and Merger & Acquisition Flows

• Monday 22 September 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  RAY Anna (Paris School of Economics / Sciences Po) : The Anatomy of Foreign Direct Investment — World Greenfield and Merger & Acquisition Flows

• Monday 8 September 2014 12:00-13:00

  HINZ Julian (PSE) : Time-variant distances in the gravity model: the view from space

• Monday 8 September 2014 12:00-13:00

  HINZ Julian (PSE) : Time-variant distances in the gravity model: the view from space

• Monday 30 June 2014 12:00-13:00

  HAIDAR Jamal Ibrahim (PSE) : Sanctions and Trade Deflection

• Monday 19 May 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  NEDONCELLE Clément (EQUIPPE - Université de Lille) : Real Exchange-Rate Volatility, Third Market Effect and Trade: Evidence from French Firm-level Data

  Co-author(s) : Jérôme Héricourt (EQUIPPE - Université de Lille, CEPII, Paris 1)

  Abstract

  In this paper, we study how firm-level export performance is affected by Real Exchange Rate (RER) volatility and investigate the way this effect is shaped by firm size and the number of destinations. Taking into account third-market effects, we distinguish bilateral volatility from multilateral volatility - the latter capturing volatilities with respect to other destination countries served by the firm. Our empirical analysis relies on export data for French exporters over the 1995-2006 period. We confirm a trade-deterring effect of bilateral RER volatility on both intensive and extensive margins of trade, and we also provide evidence for strong third-market effects : bilateral exports and entry probability increase with RER volatility of other destinations. Finally, we find that both the number of destinations and firm size magnify the effect of both volatilities. These results provide micro-founded evidence suggesting that firms face a trade-off between hedging and optimal reallocation of exports, depending mainly on the number of destinations they serve

• Monday 7 April 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  RAY Anna (PSE) : Expanding Multinationals - Industry Relatedness and Conglomerate M&A

• Monday 24 March 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S2

  HATTE Sophie (Université de Rouen - PSE) : It's not Who You Are, it's Who You Know: Political Connections and the Media Capture

  Abstract

  Are independent media captured in democratic countries? I address this question by looking at the news coverage of a sample of US firms between 2002 and 2010. More precisely, I focus on news about environmental, social or human rights practices of these firms. Such news are mainly covered by advocacy Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs). These advocacy groups vary widely in their sources of revenue. Notably, some of them receive government grants, which are likely to present a chance for governments to capture these NGOs. Using a unique data set of news posted on NGOs’ websites, I find that advocacy groups receiving grants from the US government cover less firms that have connections with the US Congress. Exploiting exogenous variations in grants allocation, instrumental variable estimators report a media capture that is statistically and economically, significant, and driven by political connections.

• Monday 24 February 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  EDO Anthony (Paris School of Economics - Paris 1) : Minimum Wage and the Labor Market Effects of Migration: Evidence from France

  Co-author(s)Farid Toubal (ENS, PSE, CESifo, CEPII).

  Abstract

  This paper provides direct evidence of the important role played by the minimum wage in shaping the labor market effects of immigration on native outcomes. We based our analysis on France, a country characterized by a high minimum wage, and we study the impact of immigration along the distribution of native wages over the last two decades. Whereas immigration has a negative average impact on the wages of competing natives by around 1%, we find heterogeneous effects over the French wage distribution. In accordance with the prevalence of a high minimum wage, a labor supply shock induced by immigration has no significant effect on the earnings of natives below the 10th percentile. Instead, we show that immigration decreases the employment opportunity of the natives who are affected by the minimum wages.

• Monday 10 February 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S19

  BARROWS Geoffrey (UC Berkeley, ARE) : Exporting and the environment: evidence from the end of the multi-fibre agreement

  Co-author(s) : Helene Ollivier (PSE - Paris 1)

• Monday 20 January 2014 12:00-13:00

  MSE Room S2

  BOUALAM Brahim (Université de Génève) : Getting a first job: quality of the labor matching in French cities

• Monday 9 December 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S2

  HINZ Julian (Paris School of Economics - Paris 1) : The ties that bind: Geopolitical motivation for PTAs

• Monday 25 November 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S3

  NGUYEN Duy-Manh (Paris School of Economics - Paris 1) : TBA

• Monday 28 October 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S3

  HATTE Sophie (Université de Rouen, PSE) : News Coverage Distortion by the U.S. Government

• Monday 14 October 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S3

  BALLER Silja (University of Oxford) : Does Product Quality Matter or Gains from Trade? Theory and Evidence

• Monday 30 September 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S3

  LANATI Mauro : TBA

• Monday 16 September 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S3

  MILET Emmanuel (Paris School of Economics - Paris 1) : White-collar blues? The Impact of Trade in Services on Wages and Occupations

  Co-author(s) : Raul Sampognaro (Direction du Trésor) and Farid Toubal (ENS, CEPII)

• Monday 2 September 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S3

  LOPEZ FORERO Margarita (Paris School of Economics - Paris 1) : Exports and FDI at the firm-level in France: complements or substitutes?

  Co-author(s) : Jean-Charles Bricogne (Banque de France)

  Abstract

  In this paper we revisit empirically the question of whether trade and FDI substitute or complement each other by disentangling the different effects at the firm level. Using a variant of the structural gravity equation we investigate the impact of FDI outflows invested by a French firm on its exports. Having access to a unique dataset of FDI and trade for French firms, we are able go one step further in the disaggregation level (the firm and product) vis-à-vis past analysis done using French data. This allows the attenuation of the so-called aggregation bias which explains in some extent the persistent complementarity found in most analysis. However, given the multiproduct nature of MNEs, even at the firm level this bias might subsist across different products of the firm. Thus, in order to identify the competing trade effects of FDI we match the data with the different hypothesis examined by implementing a comparative analysis between different types of countries, different time horizons of the investment and different types of products. We find that on average even at the firm level there is a persistent complementarity. However, it is higher for non OECD than for OECD countries and the analysis suggests it is explained by a higher substitution effect in richer countries and a higher importance of vertical linkages in non OECD countries. Furthermore, in line with theory, when taking into account the timing of the investment and the different types of products exported, we are able to explicitly identify a substitution (negative) effect for the firms’ core products right after the decision of establishing a new affiliate in a rich country.

• Monday 10 June 2013 12:00-13:00

  MSE - 106-112, boulevard d'Hôpital - 75013 Paris ; Room S17

  OLARREAGA Marcelo (University of Geneva - CEPR) : Cooperation in WTO's Tariff Waters

  Co-author(s) : Alessandro Nicita (UNCTAD) and Peri Silva (Kansas State University, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano)

  Abstract

  Many members of the World Trade Organization apply tariffs well below the negotiated tariff bounds. In principle, there are no legal constraints that prevent importing countries to set these tariffs close to optimal levels to exploit their market power. We found that this non-cooperative tariffs setting is observed only in the presence of substantial tariff water. Indeed, if the difference between applied and bound tariffs is below 20 percent, applied tariffs of WTO members cannot be explained by their market power, suggesting that cooperation in the WTO goes beyond observed tariff bounds. Cooperation within WTO tariff waters can be explained by the fear of retaliation from trading partners, in particular when these have considerable market power and tariff water in their schedules.

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 27 May 2013 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  LE BRIS Florian (Paris School of Economics) : Linking Firms' Intermediate Inputs and Export Performances

  Co-author(s) : Anne-Célia Disdier (Paris School of Economics) and Mélise Jaud (World Bank)

  Abstract

  While intermediate inputs largely dominate today's global exchanges as production processes get "sliced" internationally, there is only little understanding on their contribution to firms'export performances. This paper establishes the direct connection between imports of intermediate inputs and export outcomes, using deta iled firm-level trade data for Morocco between 2002 and 2011. We investigate whether imported intermediate inputs promote firm exports at all margins of trade. We find robust evidence that Moroccan exporters perform better when they source inputs from abroad rather than domestically. Furthermore, greater amount, diversity and quality of imported inputs contribute significantly to raise the value, scope and quality of exported varieties. Estimated effects are always stronger for inputs sourced in OECD countries, whose technological content is arguably higher. These results suggest that, by spreading technology and new varieties, the outsourcing of inputs may strongly promote countries’ participation in export competition and patterns of quality upgrading.

• Monday 22 April 2013 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  THANAGOPAL Thannaletchimy (Université Paris 1) : Price versus Quality War : a Case Study of France and Germany

  Abstract

  Incorporating the new trade and the endogenous growth theories, this paper compares the competitiveness of France and Germany in terms of prices and quality differences. Using the unitary cost of labor as an original proxy for price differences and knowledge innovation (made up of patents and R&D expenditures) as another original proxy for quality, our paper attempts to explain the exporting structure of these two countries as well as determine their import structure under the structure of disaggregated bilateral trade over 15 sectors. We find that knowledge innovation that improves product quality contributes positively and significantly to a country's trade perfromance and that this continual investment in innovation can encourage a country to gain an upper hand over one's competitor (as in the case of France and Germany).

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 11 March 2013 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  MARVI Ramezan Ali (Bocconi) : Global Value Chains as Networks of Queues and the Great Trade Collapse

  Co-auteur : Carlo Altomonte

  Abstract

  This paper develops a model to capture the suddenness of the recent trade collapse. We take into account the "time costs" of the headquarter besides the well-known elements of its cost function. The headquarter faces three possible ways to procure the intermediate input: vertical FDI, outsourcing and market-based procuring. Using queueing theory, we derive the "time costs" for these organizational structures. Incorporating these costs in the problem of the headquarter helps us to explain the mechanisms under which a sudden trade collapse will occur. It also helps us to address the motivation for the existence of north-north vertical FDI. Simulating the model reveals that it has the capability of generating the main qualitative features of the data on US monthly trade

• Monday 25 February 2013 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  JAUD Mélise (World Bank) : Regime Change, Democracy and Growth

  Co-auteur : Carolina Freund

  Abstract

  Theory and empirics are ambiguous on the eect of democracy on growth. Cross- country studies nd that democracy has no signicant impact on growth. In contrast, within-country studies nd a strong positive eect of transition to democracy. We reconcile this inconsistency by showing that the positive eect of political transition is a result of swift regime change and not democratization. We identify and examine 90 successful, failed, and gradual transitions that have occurred over the last half century. This new classication permits us to compare successful episodes of democratization with unsuccessful ones { as opposed to with the counterfactual of no transition. Wend that both successful and failed transitions boost long-run growth by about one percentage point, but gradual change is quite costly in economic terms. The results imply that the growth dividend from political transition is a result of regime change and not democratization, and also oer new evidence on the importance of the speed of transition for economic growth. The results are robust to a number of alternative specications, to stricter and more lenient denitions of democratic transition, and to including reverse transitions.

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 10 December 2012 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  GORMSEN Christian (PSE) : Diasporas and Foreign Direct Investments

• Monday 3 December 2012 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  HAIDAR Jamal Ibrahim (PSE) : Do Sanctions Matter? Exporter-Level Evidence from Iran

• Monday 5 November 2012 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  ARCHANSKAI Elizaveta (SciencesPo) : Proximity as a Source of Comparative Advantage

• Monday 1 October 2012 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  JARREAU Joachim (Paris1) : "The impact of resident status regulations on immigrants’ labor supply: evidence for France"

• Monday 24 September 2012 12:00-13:00

  Maison Sciences Economics 106 - 112 boulevard de l’Hôpital 7

  MILET Emmanuel (Paris1) : "White-collars blues? The impact of services trade on wages and occupations"

  Abstract

  This paper focuses on a virtually unexplored empirical phenomenon: round-tripping of Russian capital via offshore financial centers to Russia as foreign investment. In this study, utilizing a unique firm-level dataset, we empirically test potential differences in investment behavior between round-trip and genuine foreign investors. Our main results can be summarized as follows. For medium and large firms (by capital size at registration date) we find rather convincing evidence that round-trip investments locate in Russian regions with higher resource potential and higher levels of corruption than genuine foreign investments. However, the result for corruption is opposite for small firms, i.e. genuine foreign investors establish more small firms in corrupt Russian regions than round-trip investors. This might indicate that in corrupt Russian regions foreign investors try to minimize their risks associated with regional corruption by establishing small and micro firms. Furthermore, small firms might be used for adoption of business ideas in unstable and corrupt business environment.

• Monday 17 September 2012 12:00-13:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques (MSE) 106-112 Bd de L'Hôpita

  DAUDIN Guillaume (Sciences Po) : Heterogeneity and the Distance Puzzle

  Co-Auteur : Elizaveta Archanskaia

  Abstract

  This paper shows that reduced heterogeneity of exporter-speci?c goods provides a di- rect explanation of the distance puzzle. Theoretical foundations of the gravity equation indicate that the distance coef?cient is the product of the elasticity of trade costs to distance and a measure of heterogeneity, i.e. the substitution elasticity in the Armington framework. The Armington elasticity has increased by 13% from 1963 to 2009 while the distance elas- ticity of trade has increased by just 7%. The evolution of the distance coef?cient is thus compatible with a 5-7% reduction in the elasticity of trade costs to distance.

• Wednesday 20 June 2012 17:00-18:00

  MSE S 115

  DOUGHERTY Sean (OECD) : TBA

• Monday 18 June 2012 12:00-13:00

  MSE S 115

  BEN YAHMED Sarra (Université d'Aix-Marseille, GREQAM) : Gender Wage Gaps across Skills with Statistical Discrimination and Trade Openness

• Monday 11 June 2012 12:00-13:00

  MSE S 115

  FE DOUKOURE Charles (Paris 1) : A new Assessment of the Economic Partnership Agreements Impacts

• Monday 8 November 2010 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Room B2.1

  PARENTI Mathieu (CES, Paris I) : *

• Monday 18 October 2010 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Room B2.1

  Financial constrants and exporting: firm-level evidence from France

  co-écrit avec Philippe Askenazy, Delphine Idrac et Guillaume Gaulier

• Monday 13 September 2010 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Room B2.1

  BEN LI (Colorado University) : Firm Heterogeneity, Technology Transfer, and Ine¢ ciency:On the Choice of Partnership across Borders

• Monday 31 May 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

• Monday 17 May 2010 12:00-13:00

  FE DOUKOURE Charles (PSE) : Integration and convergence in UEMOA

• Monday 3 May 2010 12:00-13:00

  MAYNERIS Florian (PSE) : Entry on export markets and firm-level performance growth: Intra-industrial convergence or divergence?

• Monday 12 April 2010 12:00-13:00

  NEARY Peter (University of Oxford) : Multi-Product Firms at Home and Away

  ATTENTION : HORAIRE INHABITUEL

• Monday 29 March 2010 11:30-12:30

  MARTIN Julien (PSE) : Chinese Competition and the Quality composition of French Exports

• Monday 22 March 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

• Monday 8 March 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

• Monday 22 February 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

• Monday 8 February 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

• Monday 25 January 2010 12:00-13:00

  ZAKI Chahir : Trade policy and Wage Inequality in Egypt : Evidence from micro data

• Monday 18 January 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

  PSE recruiting seminar

• Monday 11 January 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

  PSE recruiting seminar

• Monday 4 January 2010 12:00-13:00

  *

  PSE recruiting seminar

• Monday 7 December 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  *

• Monday 23 November 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  ZAKI Chahir (Université Paris1) : Rethinking the Effect of Trade Liberalization in Egypt : A Microsimulation Analysis

• Monday 2 November 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  MCCANN Fergal : International outsourcing's role in international technology diffusion : the Irish case

• Monday 2 November 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  MCCANN Fergal : International outsourcing's role in international technology diffusion : the Irish case

• Monday 26 October 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  PY Loriane (Univ. Paris 1) : Overseas R&D and Performance Abroad : Evidence from Japanese Multinational Firms

• Monday 26 October 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  PY Loriane (Univ. Paris 1) : Overseas R&D and Performance Abroad : Evidence from Japanese Multinational Firms

• Monday 12 October 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  SAMPAGNORO Raoul : Productivity Dynamics, International Trade and Firm Selection : a Quantitative Assessment

• Monday 12 October 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-PARIS 1

  SAMPAGNORO Raoul : Productivity Dynamics, International Trade and Firm Selection : a Quantitative Assessment

• Monday 28 September 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1

  VICARD Vincent (Bank of France) : National borders matter ... where one draws the line too

• Monday 28 September 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1

  VICARD Vincent (Bank of France) : National borders matter ... where one draws the line too

• Monday 21 September 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1

  DOUGHERTY Sean (OECD) : Openness, regulation, and firm productivity in OECD countries

  with S. Ben Yahmed

• Monday 21 September 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1

  DOUGHERTY Sean (OECD) : Openness, regulation, and firm productivity in OECD countries

  with S. Ben Yahmed

• Monday 14 September 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1

  ZUGRAVU Natalia (MSE) : Trade and Sustainable Development: Should transition countries open their markets to environmental goods?

• Monday 14 September 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1

  ZUGRAVU Natalia (MSE) : Trade and Sustainable Development: Should transition countries open their markets to environmental goods?

• Monday 29 June 2009 12:00-13:00

  PY Loriane (PSE) : *

• Monday 29 June 2009 12:00-13:00

  PY Loriane (PSE) : *

• Monday 29 June 2009 12:00-13:00

  PY Loriane (PSE) : *

• Monday 22 June 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  CARLUCCIO Juan (PSE) : Labor Market regulations and the Boundaries of Multinational Firms

• Monday 22 June 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  CARLUCCIO Juan (PSE) : Labor Market regulations and the Boundaries of Multinational Firms

• Monday 22 June 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  CARLUCCIO Juan (PSE) : Labor Market regulations and the Boundaries of Multinational Firms

• Monday 25 May 2009 12:00-13:00

  The session was canceled.

  SAMPOGNARO Raul (Crest-Paris 1) : *

• Monday 11 May 2009 12:30-13:30

  PAILLACAR Rodrigo (PSE) : Footloose cities in Terra Incognita: Hysteresis in the Spanish urban system in the New World

• Monday 4 May 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE salle 115

  GORMSEN Christian (Aarhus University) : Intransparent Pices: A Model of Intra-Industry Trade due to Incomplete Information

• Monday 27 April 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  JAUD Mélise (PSE-LEA) : *

• Monday 6 April 2009 12:00-13:00

  TURNER Matt (University of Toronto) : Land use regulation and welfare

• Monday 30 March 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  ZAKI Chahir (PSE) : Rethinking the Effect of Cutting Red Tap in Egypt: A Dynamic CGE Analysis

• Monday 23 March 2009

  MSE Paris 1, salle 115

  ANOULIES Lisa (PSE) : Environmental regulation, trade integration and cooperation

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 9 March 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  PAILLACAR Rodrigo (PSE) : An empirical study of the world economic geography of manufacturing industries (1980-2003)

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 2 March 2009

  MSE Paris 1, salle 115

  DOUGHERTY Sean (OCDE) : Regulatory Costs And Trade-related Reallocation in the OECD

• Monday 9 February 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  KRAUTHEIM Sébastian (PSE) : Profit Shifting' FDI and International Tax Competition

• Monday 26 January 2009 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  MARTIN Julien (CREST, Paris1-PSE) : Spatial Price Discrimination in International Markets

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 19 January 2009 12:00-13:00

  The session was canceled.

  MARTIN Julien (CREST) : Spatial Price Discrimination in International Markets

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 15 December 2008 12:00-13:00

  KRAUTHEIM Sébastian (PSE) : Export Supporting FDI

• Monday 8 December 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  HERING Laura (PSE) : The heterogeneity of the impact of investing abroad: Evidence from the matched Japanese firms

• Monday 1 December 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  HAMANO Masashige (Univ. de Rennes 1) : Globalization, Variety Trade and Rising Inequality in the Nation

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 17 November 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  LENNON Caroline (PSE) : Export diversification as an Absorber of External Shocks

• Monday 10 November 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle des thèses

  ANDERSON James (Boston College) : Globalization and Income Distribution: A Specfic Factors Continuum Approach

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 3 November 2008 12:00-13:00

  The session was canceled.

  LIMARDI Michaela (PSE) : *

• Monday 20 October 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 114

  MAYNERIS Florian (PSE) : Local Export Spillovers in France

• Monday 29 September 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  POTIN Jacques (ESSEC) : A League of their Own: High-Quality Producers and International Trade

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 15 September 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 115

  BAS Maria (PSE) : The impact of foreign competition and trade in intermediates on the extensive margins of technology adoption and trade

• Monday 23 June 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  LENNON C. (aff. n.c.) : Trade in services: Cross border trade vs commercial presence. Evidence of complementarity

• Monday 16 June 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  ZAKI C. (aff. n.c.) : Does trade facilitation matter in bilateral trade ?

• Monday 9 June 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  COUTTENIER M. (aff. n.c.) : Relationship between institutions and natural resources

• Monday 26 May 2008

  The session was canceled.

  *

• Monday 19 May 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  CHATELAIS N. (aff. n.c.) : Are Small Countries Leaders of the European Tax Competition ?

• Monday 5 May 2008 12:00-13:00

  GUILLIN A. (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne-Paris 1) : *

• Monday 7 April 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  FALLY T. (PSE) : *

• Monday 17 March 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  PAPPADA F. (aff. n.c.) : The real adjustment of the US current account position in a model with firms' heterogeneity

• Monday 11 February 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  BERTHOU A. (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne-Paris 1) : Real exchange rate movements and bilateral exports : the dampening effect of trade costs

• Monday 4 February 2008 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  KARAM F. (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne-Paris 1) : *

• Monday 21 January 2008 12:00-13:00

  The session was canceled.

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  ZAKI C. (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne-Paris 1) : *

• Monday 17 December 2007 12:00-13:00

  VICARD V. (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne-Paris 1) : Trade, Conflicts, and Political Integration: Explaining the Heterogeneity of Regional Trade Agreements

• Monday 26 November 2007 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  EYQUEM A. (Univ. de Rennes 1) : Assessing the Welfare Gains of Tade Integration in the EMU

  Co-auteur : J.M. Poutineau

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 19 November 2007 12:00-13:00

  TAI S (aff. n.c.) : How Market Structure Explains the Link between Migration & Trade?

  Full text [pdf]

• Monday 5 November 2007 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  HAMANO M. (aff. n.c.) : The HBS effect with extensive margins

• Monday 15 October 2007 12:00-13:00

  MSE-Paris 1, salle 113

  MAYNERIS F. (EHESS) : Politiques publiques de soutien aux clusters

  Full text [pdf]

• 0000 13:00-14:00

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, Salle S/2

  WIBAUX Pauline (Paris 1 - PSE) : Trade Retaliation

  Davide Furceri (IMF), Chris Papageorgiou (IMF)

• 0000

  MSE Room S17

  PITON Sophie (PSE) : TBA