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  • CNRS
Groupes de recherche
THÈMES DE RECHERCHE
  • Économie expérimentale
  • Théorie des jeux
  • Théorie du choix social
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75014 Paris

Publications HAL

  • Political Brinkmanship and Compromise Pré-publication, Document de travail

    We study how do-or-die threats ending negotiations affect gridlock and welfare when two opposing parties bargain. Failure to agree on a deal in any period implies a continuation of the negotiation. However, under brinkmanship, agreement failure in any period may precipitate a crisis with a small chance. In equilibrium, such brinkmanship threats improve the probability of an agreement, but also increase the risk of crisis. Brinkmanship reduces welfare when one might think it is most needed: severe gridlock. In this case, despite this global welfare loss, a party has incentives to use brinkmanship strategically to obtain a favorable bargaining position

    Publié en

  • Voting Rights, Agenda Control and Information Aggregation Article dans une revue

    This paper examines the comparative properties of voting rules based on the richness of their ballot spaces, assuming a given distribution of voting rights. We focus on how well voting rules aggregate the information dispersed among voters. We consider how different voting rules affect both voters’ decisions at the voting stage and the incentives of the agenda-setter, who decides whether to put the proposal to a vote. Without agenda-setter, the voting efficiency of rules is higher when their ballot space is richer. Moreover, full-information efficiency requires full divisibility of the votes. In the presence of an agenda-setter, we uncover a novel trade-off: in some cases, rules with high voting efficiency provide worse incentives to the agenda-setter to select good proposals. This negative effect can be large enough to wash out the higher voting efficiency of even the most efficient rules.

    Revue : Journal of the European Economic Association

    Publié en

  • Voter coordination in elections: A case for approval voting Article dans une revue

    We study how voting rules shape voter coordination in large three-candidate elections. We consider three rules, that differ on the number of candidates that voters can support: Plurality (one), Anti-Plurality (two) and Approval Voting (one or two). We show that the Condorcet winner is always elected at some equilibrium under Approval Voting, and that this rule provides better welfare guarantees than Plurality. We then numerically study a dynamic process of political tâtonnement which delivers rich insights. The Condorcet winner is virtually always elected under Approval Voting, but not under the other rules. The dominance of Approval Voting is robust to several alternative welfare criteria and the introduction of expressive voters.

    Revue : Games and Economic Behavior

    Publié en

  • Repeated Majority Voting Pré-publication, Document de travail

    We propose a general model of repeated voting in committees and study equilibrium behavior under alternative majority rules. We find that repetition may significantly increase the efficiency of majority voting through a mechanism of intertemporal logrolling, agents sometimes voting against their immediate preference to benefit the group’s long-term interest. In turn, this affects the comparison of majority rules, which may differ significantly relative to the static setting. The model provides a rationale for the use of super-majority rules, while accounting for the prevalence of consensus in committee voting.

    Publié en

  • Public Information as a Source of Disagreement Among Shareholders Pré-publication, Document de travail

    We study how investors’ beliefs about firm value, and hence their willingness to trade, respond to the release of public information. We consider a standard rational expectations model with homogeneous investors (common preferences, priors, and opinions) with the novelty that information, both public and private, pertains to the decisions the firm will make in the future and whether it is value-enhancing (what we refer to as the path-forward), instead of being directly about the value of the firm. Our analysis shows that, counter to the received wisdom, standard models can explain the well-documented pattern of increased in disagreement and trade volume after public announcements. Two economic insights emerge. First, investors holding different information about the path-forward of the firm may nonetheless have the same assessment of the firm’s value. The release of public information may then reinforce or contradict interim beliefs about the path-forward, and hence lead to divergence in investors’ assessments of the firm’s value and then an increase in trade volume. Second, investors who participate in shareholders’ meetings may have an informational advantage relative to investors that observe only public information about the meeting. The former group know both how they voted and their private information before voting, while others only know the total vote tally. The exploitation of that advantage leads to a surge in trade after public disclosure of meeting outcomes.

    Publié en