A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France
Article dans une revue: Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labour market. A 1999 rise in the French layoff tax paid by large private firms when they laid off older workers made younger workers less secure; this insecurity reduced their fertility by 3.7 percentage points (with a 95% confidence interval between 0.7 and 6.6 percentage points). Reduced fertility is only found at the intensive margin: job insecurity reduces family size but not the probability of parenthood itself. Our results also suggest negative selection into parenthood, as this fertility effect does not appear for low-income and less-educated workers.
Auteur(s)
Andrew E. Clark, Anthony Lepinteur
Revue
- Review of Economics and Statistics
Date de publication
- 2022
Mots-clés JEL
Mots-clés
- Employment protection
- Layoff tax
- Perceived Job Security
- Difference-in-Differences
- Fertility
Pages
- 386-398
URL de la notice HAL
Version
- 1
Volume
- 104