A State-Space Model to Estimate Potential Growth in the Industrialized Countries

Chapitre d'ouvrage: This paper proposes new estimates of potential growth for 5 major industrialized countries. We use a state-space approach to obtain joint estimates of potential growth and the natural interest rates. The model is a reduced-form of a partial equilibrium model with a Phillips curve and an IS curve. In addition to the usual determinants of prices and business fluctuations, we consider financial variables as a determinant of the business cycle.

Auteur(s)

Thomas Brand, Gilles Dufrénot, Antoine Mayerowitz

Éditeur(s)
  • Springer
Éditeur(s) scientifique(s)
  • Dufrénot Gilles
  • Takashi Matsuki
Collection
  • Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance
Titre de l’ouvrage
  • Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data
Date de publication
  • 2021
Mots-clés
  • Potential growth
  • State-space models
  • Long-memory
  • Industrialized countries
Pages
  • 61-77
Version
  • 1
Volume
  • 27