Counting the missing poor in pre-industrial societies
Article dans une revue: Under income-differentiated mortality, poverty measures suffer from a selection bias: they do not count the missing poor (i.e., persons who would have been counted as poor provided they did not die prematurely). The Pre-Industrial period being characterized by an evolutionary advantage (i.e., a higher number of surviving children per household) of the non-poor over the poor, one may expect that the missing poor bias is substantial during that period. This paper quantifies the missing poor bias in Pre-Industrial societies, by computing the hypothetical headcount poverty rates that would have prevailed provided the non-poor did not benefit from an evolutionary advantage over the poor. Using data on Pre-Industrial England and France, we show that the sign and size of the missing poor bias are sensitive to the degree of downward social mobility.
Auteur(s)
Mathieu Lefebvre, Pierre Pestieau, Gregory Ponthiere
Revue
- Cliometrica
Date de publication
- 2023
Mots-clés JEL
Mots-clés
- Measurement
- Selection effects
- Missing poor
- Poverty
Pages
- 155-183
URL de la notice HAL
Version
- 1
Volume
- 17