Does Tax-Benefit Linkage Matter for the Incidence of Payroll Taxes?

Pré-publication, Document de travail: We study the earnings responses to six large payroll tax and income tax reforms in France. We find evidence of full pass-through to workers in cases where there is a strong and clear relationship between contributions and expected benefits. By contrast, we find a limited pass-through of employer payroll taxes to workers for reforms with no tax-benefit linkage, and close to full pass-through to workers for income tax reforms nominally incident on employees. Together with a meta-analysis of the literature, we interpret these results as evidence that tax-benefit linkage matters for incidence of payroll taxes, a claim long made by the literature but not backed by empirical evidence to date. Absent tax-benefit linkage, our results suggest that the individual-level incidence of payroll taxes aligns with their statutory incidence.

Auteur(s)

Antoine Bozio, Thomas Breda, Julien Grenet, Arthur Guillouzouic

Date de publication
  • 2024
Mots-clés JEL
H22 H55
Mots-clés
  • Tax- Benefit Linkage
  • Statutory incidence
  • Tax Incidence
  • Payroll Tax
Référence interne
  • PSE Working Papers n°2019-43
Version
  • 5