Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents

Article dans une revue: We propose a novel methodology for forecasting chaotic systems which is based on exploiting the information conveyed by the local Lyapunov exponents of a system. This information is used to correct for the inevitable bias of most non-parametric predictors. Using simulated data, we show that gains in prediction accuracy can be substantial.

Auteur(s)

Dominique Guegan, Justin Leroux

Revue
  • Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
Date de publication
  • 2009
Mots-clés
  • Chaotic systems
Pages
  • 2401-2404
Version
  • 2
Volume
  • 41