Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents
Article dans une revue: We propose a novel methodology for forecasting chaotic systems which is based on exploiting the information conveyed by the local Lyapunov exponents of a system. This information is used to correct for the inevitable bias of most non-parametric predictors. Using simulated data, we show that gains in prediction accuracy can be substantial.
Auteur(s)
Dominique Guegan, Justin Leroux
Revue
- Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
Date de publication
- 2009
Mots-clés
- Chaotic systems
Pages
- 2401-2404
URL de la notice HAL
Version
- 2
Volume
- 41