Political Brinkmanship and Compromise

Pré-publication, Document de travail: We study how do-or-die threats ending negotiations affect gridlock and welfare when two opposing parties bargain. Failure to agree on a deal in any period implies a continuation of the negotiation. However, under brinkmanship, agreement failure in any period may precipitate a crisis with a small chance. In equilibrium, such brinkmanship threats improve the probability of an agreement, but also increase the risk of crisis. Brinkmanship reduces welfare when one might think it is most needed: severe gridlock. In this case, despite this global welfare loss, a party has incentives to use brinkmanship strategically to obtain a favorable bargaining position

Auteur(s)

Helios Herrera, Antonin Macé, Matias Nùnez

Date de publication
  • 2025
Mots-clés JEL
C78 D7
Mots-clés
  • Brinkmanship
  • Political Gridlock
  • Bargaining Advantage
Référence interne
  • PSE Working Papers n°2021-28
Version
  • 3