Sleeping Beauty and the absent-minded driver
Article dans une revue: The Sleeping Beauty problem is presented in a formalized framework which summarizes the underlying probability structure. The two rival solutions proposed by Elga (Analysis 60:143-147, 2000) and Lewis (Analysis 61:171-176, 2001) differ by a single parameter concerning her prior probability. They can be supported by considering, respectively, that Sleeping Beauty is "fuzzy-minded" and "blank-minded", the first interpretation being more natural than the second. The traditional absent-minded driver problem is reinterpreted in this framework and sustains Elga's solution.
Auteur(s)
Jean Baratgin, Bernard Walliser
Revue
- Theory and Decision
Date de publication
- 2010
Mots-clés
- Absent-mindedness
- Belief revision
- Probability
- Sleeping Beauty problem
Pages
- 489-496
URL de la notice HAL
Version
- 1
Volume
- 69