Transformative targets in sustainability policy making: the case of the 30% EU mitigation goal

Article dans une revue: This paper explores to what extent moving towards the 30% GHG emission reductions by 2020 with respect to 1990 in the EU can be considered a transformative target. To do so, we first define the concept of transformative targets from a complex systems perspective and show a novel approach and original results using an extended application of the GEM-E3 model. Traditional macroeconomic models cannot easily handle key synergetic system effects derived from green growth and sustainability policies, and thus require additional features. We analyse the role of semi-endogenous growth driven by learning-by-doing and low-carbon investment expectations following a long-term transformative trajectory.

Auteur(s)

J. David Tabara, Diana Mangalagiu, Roland Kupers, C. Jaeger, Antoine Mandel, Leonidas Paroussos

Revue
  • Journal of Environmental Planning and Management
Date de publication
  • 2013
Mots-clés JEL
B52 Q54
Mots-clés
  • EU climate policy
  • System attractors
  • Macroeconomic modelling
  • Sustainability
Pages
  • 1180-1191
Version
  • 1
Volume
  • 56