Paris School of Economics - École d'Économie de Paris

Economics serving society

Katrin Millock

Katrin Millock

PSE Professor

Research Fellow CNRS

Campus Jourdan – 48 Boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris

4th floor, office 20

Phone +33(0)1 80 52 17 86

  • Environmental Economics & Natural resources
  • Sectoral Regulation: health, schools, energy, transportation...
  • Migrations
  • Public Economics

Selected recent work

Climate-induced migration

We combine migration data from the 1991 and 2001 Indian Census with climate data to investigate the impact of climate variability on internal migration. The article makes four major contributions to the existing literature on macro-level migration flows. First, the use of the census data enables us to match the observed migration flows with relevant climatic factors prior to migration. Second, we introduce relevant meteorological indicators of climate variability, to measure the frequency, duration and magnitude of drought and excess precipitation based on the Standardized Precipitation Index. Third, we analyse bilateral migration rates in order to fully account for characteristics in both the origin and the destination states. We account for zero observations, which are frequent in bilateral data, by using a Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood Estimator. Finally, we examine three possible channels through which climate variability could induce migration: average income, agriculture and urbanization. The estimation results show a direct effect of drought frequency in the origin state on inter-state migration in India. The magnitude of drought is also important in explaining the indirect effect going through the impact of climate variability on the income from the agricultural sector. The effect of drought frequency is higher for rural out-migration flows compared to the effect on total inter-state migration. The results are robust to alternative specifications with bilateral fixed effects and to the inclusion of irrigation rates. 

 

The concept of environmental migrants occurs frequently in the policy debate, in particular with regard to climate change and the incidence of such migration in low-income countries. This article reviews the economic studies of environmentally induced migration. It includes recent empirical analyses that try to link environmental change to migration flows and the spatial distribution of population. A consensus seems to emerge that there is little likelihood of large increases in international migration flows due to climate variability. The evidence to date shows that regional migration will be affected, however, either on the African continent or internally, within country borders. Theoretically, environmentally induced migration can be analyzed using different frameworks: the classical Harris-Todaro model of rural-urban migration, new economic geography models, models grounded in environmental economics of pollution externalities with free factor mobility, and the new economics of labor migration. I review some of the latest attempts to analyze environmentally induced migration theoretically and the policy-relevant conclusions that can be drawn. 

  

 

Papers in submission or in progress

Flood risk, property values and the role of information (with Edwige Dubos-Paillard and Emmanuelle Lavaine)

Water inequality and conflict (with Stefanija Veljanoska)

Sustainable consumption of energy-using goods

Accelerating the diffusion of climate-friendly technologies (with Solmaria Halleck Vega and Antoine Mandel)

Human migration in the era of climate change (with Cristina Cattaneo, Michel Beine, Christiane Froelich, Dominic Kniveton, Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso, Marina Mastrorillo, Etienne Piguet and Benjamin Schraven)