Séminaires

Paris Migration Seminar (PMS)

• Prochainement
• Archives

Prochainement

• Mercredi 12 mai 2021 17:30-18:30

  FACCHINI Giovanni (University of Nottingham) : Immigrant franchise and immigration policy: Evidence from the Progressive Era

  BIAVASCHI Constanza (Norwegian University of Science and Technology)

  Résumé

  What is the role played by immigrant groups in shaping migration policy in the destination country? To study this question we exploit historical variation in access to the franchise induced by different residency requirements across U.S. states. We start by documenting that naturalized immigrants were more geographically mobile than natives. Next we show that congressmen representing districts with large numbers of naturalized U.S. citizens were more likely to support an open migration policy, but that more stringent residency requirements attenuate this effect. Our results indicate that congressmen electoral accountability to naturalized immigrants was a key factor in explaining this outcome.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 19 mai 2021 17:30-18:30

  STILLMAN Steve (Free University of Bozen - Bolzano) : *

• Mercredi 26 mai 2021 17:30-18:30

  CATTANEO Cristina (European Institute on Economics and the Environment) : *

Archives

• Lundi 10 mai 2021 17:30-18:20

  BAH Tijan (University of Navarra) : How has COVID-19 affected the intention to migrate via the backway to Europe and to a neighboring African country? Survey evidence and a salience experiment in The Gambia

  joint with Catia Batista, Flore Gubert, David McKenzie

  Résumé

  The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in border closures in many countries and a sharp reduction in overall international mobility. However, this disruption of legal pathways to migration has raised concerns that potential migrants may turn to irregular migration routes as a substitute. We examine how the pandemic has changed intentions to migrate from The Gambia, the country with the highest pre-pandemic per-capita irregular migration rates in Africa. We use a large-scale panel survey conducted in 2019 and 2020 to compare changes in intentions to migrate to Europe and to neighboring Senegal. We find the pandemic has reduced the intention to migrate to both destinations, with approximately one-third of young males expressing less intention to migrate. The largest reductions in migration intentions are for individuals who were unsure of their intent pre-pandemic, and for poorer individuals who are no longer able to afford the costs of migrating at a time when these costs have increased and their remittance income has fallen. We also introduce the methodology of priming experiments to the study of migration intentions, by randomly varying the salience of the COVID-19 pandemic before eliciting intentions to migrate. We find no impact of this added salience, which appears to be because knowledge of the virus, while imperfect, was already enough to inform migration decisions. Nevertheless, despite these decreases in intentions, the overall desire to migrate the backway to Europe remains high, highlighting the need for legal migration pathways to support migrants and divert them from the risks of backway migration.

• Mercredi 5 mai 2021 17:30-18:30

  KEITA Sekou (IAB) : The Usual Suspects. Offenders' Orign, Media Reporting and Natives' Attitudes Towards Immigration

  VALETTE Jérôme (Univ.Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne)

  with Thomas Renault

  Résumé

  Immigration and crime are two first-order issues that are often considered jointly in people’s minds. This paper analyzes how media reporting policies on crime impact natives’ attitudes towards immigration. We depart from most studies by investigating the content of crime-related articles instead of their coverage. Specifically, we use a radical change in local media reporting on crime in Germany as a natural experiment. This unique framework allows us to estimate whether systematically disclosing the places of origin of criminals affects natives’ attitudes towards immigration. We combine individual survey data collected between January 2014 and December 2018 from the German Socio-Economic Panel with data from more than 545,000 crime-related articles in German newspapers and data on their diffusion across the country. Our results indicate that systematically mentioning the origins of criminals, especially when offenders are natives, significantly reduces natives’ concerns about immigration.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 3 mai 2021 17:30-18:20

  SEDOVA Barbora (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) : Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa

  joint with Lars Ludolph

  Résumé

  In this paper, we study the effect of exogenous global crop price changes on migration from agricultural and non-agricultural households in Sub-Saharan Africa. We show that, similar to the effect of positive local weather shocks, the effect of a locally-relevant global crop price increase on household out-migration depends on the initial household wealth. Higher international producer prices relax the budget constraint of poor agricultural households and facilitate migration. The order of magnitude of a standardized price effect is approx. one third of the standardized effect of a local weather shock. Unlike positive weather shocks, which mostly facilitate internal rural-urban migration, positive income shocks through rising producer prices only increase migration to neighboring African countries, likely due to the simultaneous decrease in real income in nearby urban areas. Finally, we show that while higher producer prices induce conflict, conflict does not play a role for the household decision to send a member as a labor migrant.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 28 avril 2021 17:30-18:30

  GIULIANO Paola (UCLA, Anderson School of Management) : The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States

  joint with Marco Tabellini

  Résumé

  We study the long run effects of immigration on US political ideology. We establish a new result: historical European immigration is associated with stronger preferences for redistribution and a more liberal ideology among Americans today. We hypothesize that European immigrants moving to the US in the early twentieth century brought with them their preferences for redistribution, with long-lasting effects on political attitudes of US-born individuals. After documenting that immigrants' economic characteristics and other standard economic forces cannot, alone, explain our results, we provide evidence that our findings are driven by immigrants with a longer exposure to social-welfare reforms in their countries of origin. Consistent with a process of horizontal transmission from immigrants to natives, results are stronger where historical inter-group contact was more frequent, and are not due to transmission within ancestry groups. Immigration left its footprint on American political ideology starting with the New Deal, and persisted since then.

• Lundi 26 avril 2021 17:30-18:20

  ALVAREZ Bastien (CEPS, ENS) : European Integration and the Trade-off between Offshoring and Immigration

  with Enxhi Tresa

  Résumé

  Following the 2004 EU enlargement, Western European countries progressively and sequentially opened their labour markets to Eastern European workers. We use that event to provide evidence of substitution between employing immigrant workers and production offshoring in Europe. We combine data from the European Labour Force Survey with the World Input-Output Database and use an instrumental variable to tackle potential endogeneity in the trade-migration relationship. We find that, following the openings of labour markets, Western European sectors where Eastern European workers have a larger presence import less value added in intermediate goods from Eastern Europe (i.e. a measure of offshoring). This effect mostly concerns low skilled immigrant workers. We explain that once labour markets were opened, it became relatively easier for firms to import workers rather than goods and fill in labour market needs. This work is, to our knowledge, the first to provide evidence regarding the effect of the EU enlargement-induced labour mobility on European and global value chain. It also contributes to the literature by looking at the trade-migration relationship at the sector and occupation level.

• Mercredi 21 avril 2021 17:30-18:30

  GATHMANN Christina (LISER) : Marginal Returns to Citizenship and Children’s School Performance: Who benefits and what works?

  Résumé

  Abstract Citizenship is the most important right a host country can bestow on its immigrant population. Yet, little is known which citizenship policies work and who actually benefits from them. To answer these questions, we estimate the marginal returns to citizenship on school performance for immigrant children. For identification, we use two national reforms, which introduced birthright citizenship and defined pathways to naturalization for first-generation immigrants. We find relevant heterogeneity in the returns to citizenship with reverse selection on gains, i.e., the returns are highest for those with the highest resistance to take-up. There is also perverse selection on gains for observable characteristics, especially whether the child is born in Germany. On average, the provision of citizenship significantly improves immigrant children's school outcomes in terms of a reduced probability of retention and better school grades. Policy simulations suggest that increasing citizenship take-up, e.g. by adopting U.S.-style birthright citizenship, would have positive effects for schooling outcomes.

• Lundi 19 avril 2021 17:30-18:20

  BALGOVA Maria (IZA) : Leaping into the unknown? The role of job search in migration decisions

  Résumé

  In this paper, I show evidence that firms' recruitment across space significantly shapes inter-regional migration. I start by showing that the majority of US workers move to take up a specific job offer, rather than to search for employment. I then measure the opportunities to move by analyzing help-wanted ads in newspapers across the US, revealing significant differences in the size of local labour markets across workers. Finally, I build a dynamic discrete choice model which allows me to distinguish between speculative and non-speculative moves. I show that, holding the costs and benefits of migration constant, the workers with greater opportunity move more. This result suggests that there are potentially large social returns to efficient cross-regional hiring. It also demonstrates why spatial search frictions act as such a strong barrier to migration.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 14 avril 2021 17:30-18:30

  SEQUEIRA Sandra (LSE) : Forced Displacement, Human Capital and Occupational Choice

  joint with Stelios Michalopolous

  Résumé

  This paper examines the impact of conflict-driven displacement on investments in human capital and occupational choice, looking at the Mozambican civil war (1977-1992). We analyse all the different displacement trajectories that occurred between cities, rural areas and refugee camps in neighboring countries. Exploiting the universe of the first post-war census in 1997, we overcome selection concerns by comparing the displacement experience of siblings and twins separated during the war. Children displaced into urban areas were more likely to invest in education and later experience a shift towards occupations outside of agriculture, even when they returned to the countryside once the war was over. Displacement to neighboring countries, mostly to refugee camps or informal settlements, yields no discernible differences in education and occupational specialization. We then explore heterogeneity to shed light on the channels. Children whose parents and grandparents are literate invest more in education when moving to a new environment. Educational investments and occupational shifts are also more substantial for those internally displaced to areas with higher levels of human capital and population density. Finally, we implement a survey in Mozambique's largest Northern city that aims to uncover the long-run impact of forced displacement and explore aspects not covered in the census. 28 years after the end of the civil war, individuals displaced into the city have significantly higher education than their siblings who remained elsewhere. Moreover, they seem to have integrated socially into urban areas, having comparable views and attitudes to non-mover city-dwellers. However, those who were internally displaced have lower mental health levels, inter-community trust, and are less optimistic than their cohort of urban dwellers. These findings underscore how forced displacement can act as a mobility shock that breaks links with subsistence agriculture, increasing human capital accumulation and encouraging occupational shifts. However, it may come at the cost of decreased mental health and trust.

• Lundi 12 avril 2021 17:30-18:20

  PEREIRA DOS SANTOS Joao (NOVA) : Cousins From Overseas: The Labour Market Impact of Half a Million Portuguese Repatriates

  joint with Lara Bohnet and Susana Peralta

  Résumé

  This paper investigates the labour market consequences of an exogenous increase in the labour supply, exploiting the large and unexpected inflow of repatriates to Portugal following the end of the Portuguese Colonial War in 1974-76. We explore the impact on labour force participation, unemployment, and different types of employment of both male and female natives. Using a novel instrumental variable approach which exploits information on the places of birth of the repatriates, we find no increase in unemployment but some displacement effects, with a stronger adverse effect on females. Female and male native workers are found to be driven out of employment as employees. However, men compensate for this loss by moving to self-employment, while native women move to inactivity

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 29 mars 2021 17:30-18:20

  GIUNTI Sara (Uni. Milano Bicocca) : The Refugee Crisis and Right-Wing Populism: Evidence from the Italian Dispersal Policy

  joint with Francesco Campo and Mariapia Mendola

  Résumé

  This paper examines how the 2014-2017 ‘refugee crisis’ in Italy affected voting behavior and the rise of right–wing populism in national Parliamentary elections. We collect unique administrative data and leverage exogenous variation in refugee resettlement across Italian municipalities induced by the Dispersal Policy. We find a positive and significant effect of the share of asylum seekers on support for radical-right anti-immigration parties. The effect is heterogeneous across municipality characteristics, yet robust to dispersal policy features. We provide causal evidence that the anti–immigration backlash is not rooted in adverse economic effects, while it is triggered by radical–right propaganda.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 24 mars 2021 17:30-18:30

  SPILIMBERGO Antonio (IMF) : Mobility Under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Asymmetric Effects Across Gender and Age

  SANDRI Damiano (IMF)

  joint with Francesca Caselli and Francesco Grigoli

  Résumé

  Lockdowns and voluntary social distancing led to significant reduction in people's mobility. Yet, there is scant evidence on the heterogeneous effects across segments of the population. Using unique mobility indicators based on anonymized and aggregate data provided by Vodafone for Italy, Portugal, and Spain, we find that lockdowns had a larger impact on the mobility of women and younger cohorts. Younger people also experienced a sharper drop in mobility in response to rising COVID-19 infections. Our findings, which are consistent across estimation methods and robust to a variety of tests, warn about a possible widening of gender and inter-generational inequality and provide important inputs for the formulation of targeted policies.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 22 mars 2021 17:30-18:30

  SANTAMARIA Julieth (University of Minnesota) : When a Stranger Shall Sojourn with Thee’: The Impact of the Venezuelan Exodus on Colombian Labor Markets

  Résumé

  This paper analyzes the effect of open-door immigration policies on local labor markets. Using the sharp and unprecedented surge of Venezuelan refugees into Colombia, I study the impact on wages and employment in a context where work permits were granted at scale. To identify which labor markets immigrants are entering, I overcome limitations in official records and generate novel evidence of refugee settlement patterns by tracking the geographical distribution of Internet search terms that Venezuelans but not Colombians use. While official records suggest migrants are concentrated in a few cities, the Internet search index shows migrants are located across the country. Using this index, high-frequency labor market data, and a difference-in-differences design, I find precise null effects on employment and wages in the formal and informal sectors. A machine learning approach that compares counterfactual cities with locations most impacted by immigration yields similar results. All in all, the results suggest that open-door policies do not harm labor markets in the host community.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 17 mars 2021 17:30-18:30

  ROSSI-HANSBERG Esteban (Princeton) : The Economic Geography of Global Warming

  joint with Jose Luis Cruz Alvarez

  Résumé

  Global warming is a worldwide and protracted phenomenon with heterogeneous local economic effects. In order to evaluate the aggregate and local economic consequences of higher temperatures, we propose a dynamic economic assessment model of the world economy with high spatial resolution. Our model features a number of mechanisms through which individuals can adapt to global warming, including costly trade and migration, and local technological innovations and natality rates. We quantify the model at a 1° × 1° resolution and estimate damage functions that determine the impact of temperature changes on a region’s fundamental productivity and amenities depending on local temperatures. Our baseline results show welfare losses as large as 15% in parts of Africa and Latin America but also high heterogeneity across locations, with northern regions in Siberia, Canada, and Alaska experiencing gains. Our results indicate large uncertainty about average welfare effects and point to migration and, to a lesser extent, innovation as important adaptation mechanisms. We use the model to assess the impact of carbon taxes, abatement technologies, and clean energy subsidies. Carbon taxes delay consumption of fossil fuels and help flatten the temperature curve but are much more effective when an abatement technology is forthcoming.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 15 mars 2021 17:30-18:15

  STRAZZERI Maurizio (University of Konstanz) : Assessing the Role of Asylum Policies in Refugees’ Labor Market Integration: The Case of Protection Statuses in the German Asylum System

  Résumé

  I study the effect of refugees’ protection status on labor market outcomes focusing on a recent cohort of Syrian and Iraqi refugees entering Germany between 2013 and 2016. My empirical analysis exploits a sudden and unpredictable change in the assessment of the Federal Agency responsible for asylum claims to grant full refugee status in accordance with the Geneva convention to refugees from these two countries in March 2016. Using data from the IAB-BAMF-SOEP survey of refugees and exploiting the policy change in a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, estimation results indicate a substantial negative effect of subsidiary protection status on earnings and employment.

• Mercredi 10 mars 2021 17:30-18:30

  GIESING Yvonne (Ifo Institute) : Firms Left Behind: Emigration and Firm Productivity

  LAURENTSYEVA Nadzeya (LMU)

  Résumé

  This paper establishes a causal link between the emigration of skilled workers and firm productivity. We create a new instrument for emigration by exploiting industry-level variation in the European labor mobility regulations from 2004 to 2017. Using a new self-collected industry-level migration dataset and a large administrative firm-level panel, we show that emigration reduces firm productivity in the short term. The negative effect concerns all firms along the initial productivity distribution and is more pronounced when emigrants are positively selected. At the industry level, the effects are attenuated by firms’ entry and exit dynamics. Additional evidence highlights a loss of firm-specific human capital and reduced training due to increased turnover.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 8 mars 2021 17:30-18:30

  GHOSE Devaki (The World Bank) : Trade, Internal Migration, and Human Capital: Who Gains from India’s IT Boom?

  Résumé

  How do trade shocks a?ect welfare and inequality when human capital is endogenous? Using an external IT demand shock and detailed internal migration data from India, I ?rst document that both IT employment and engineering enrollment responded to the rise in IT exports, with IT employment responding more when nearby regions have higher college age population. I then develop a quantitative spatial equilibrium model featuring two new channels: higher education choice and differential costs of migrating for college and work. Using the framework, I quantify the aggregate and distributional e?ects of the IT boom, and perform counterfactuals. Without endogenous education, estimated aggregate welfare gain from the export shock would have been half and regional inequality about a third higher. Reducing barriers to mobility for education, such as reducing in-state quotas for students at higher education institutes, would substantially reduce inequality in the gains from the IT boom across districts.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 3 mars 2021 17:30-18:30

  LIBOIS François (PSE) : Man Overboard! Industrial Fishing as Driver of Out-Migration in Africa

  joint with Irène Hu

  Résumé

  Environmental drivers of migration attract more and more attention. This article focuses on the effect of fish stock depletion on migration in Africa and uses a novel dataset on fishing intensity (Kroodsma et al., 2018). Based on a panel of the 37 African countries with access to the sea over the period 2012-2018, we show that within country variation in fishing intensity increases migration to OECD countries. We find strong evidence that the competition created by industrial fishing vessels overfishing African seas and depleting fish stocks, increase the number of asylum seekers to OECD in general and of male asylum seekers to European OECD countries in particular. A 1% increase in the previous year’s fishing effort along an African country’s coast increases the number of asylum seekers towards the OECD by 0.05% and by 0.06% the number of male asylum seekers to European OECD countries. We then show that findings at the macro level are consistent in terms of mechanisms with micro level estimates using household level demographic data.

• Lundi 1er mars 2021 17:30-18:15

  PORCHER Charly (Dartmouth College) : Migration with Costly Information

  Résumé

  Information is critical for migration decisions. Yet, depending on where they reside and who they interact with, individuals may face different costs of accessing information about employment opportunities. How does this imperfect and heterogeneous information structure affect the spatial allocation of economic activity and welfare? I develop a quantitative dynamic model of migration with costly information acquisition and local information sharing. Rationally inattentive agents optimally acquire more information about nearby locations and learn about other locations from the migrants around them. I apply this model to internal migration in Brazil and estimate it using migration flows between regions. To illustrate its quantitative implications, I evaluate the counterfactual effects of the roll-out of broadband internet in Brazil. By allowing workers to make better mobility choices, expanding internet access increases average welfare by 1.6%, reduces migration flows by 1.2% and reduces the cross-sectional dispersion in earnings by 4%.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 24 février 2021 17:30-18:30

  DJAJIC Slobodan (Graduate Institute Geneva) : Purchasing-Power-Parity and the Saving Behavior of Temporary Migrants

  KIRDAR Murat (Bogazici University)

  joint with Alpaslan Akay and Alexandra Brausmann

  Résumé

  How does the saving behavior of immigrants respond to changes in purchasing power parity between the source and host countries? We examine this question by building a theoretical model of joint return-migration and saving decisions of temporary migrants and then test its implications using data from the German Socioeconomic Panel on immigrants from 88 source countries. As implied by our theoretical model, we find that the saving rate increases with the price of host-country in terms of source-country currency, but decreases in the source-country price level and that the absolute magnitude of both relationships increases as the time to retirement becomes shorter. At the median level of years to retirement, the absolute values of the elasticity of savings with respect to the nominal exchange rate and with respect to the source-country price level are about one-half. Moreover, as we gradually restrict the sample to individuals with stronger return intentions, the estimated magnitudes of the coefficients become larger and their statistical significance higher.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 22 février 2021 17:30-18:15

  GAMALERIO Matteo (IEB, Uni. Barcelona) : The Political Economy of Open Borders: Theory and Evidence on the role of Electoral Rules

  with Massimo Morelli and Margherita Negri

  Résumé

  Institutions matter for the political choice of policies, and hence the consideration of the median voter's preferences should not be considered sufficient. We study theoretically and empirically how different electoral systems affect the level of openness of a country or city, zooming on the labor market as the main source of heterogeneous economic preferences towards immigration. The general result is that a polity is more likely to display open border policies when its electoral rules tend towards proportional representation or, more generally, the more unlikely it is that policymaking can be supported by a plurality of voters who do not constitute an absolute majority. There is evidence for this result at all levels in terms of correlations, and we establish causality via regression discontinuity design for the Italian case.

• Mercredi 17 février 2021 17:30-18:30

  MILLOCK Katrin (PSE) : Long term migration trends and climate change: The role of irrigation

  TARAZ Vis (Smith College)

  joint with Théo Benonnier

  Résumé

  Climate change has the potential to affect both international and internal migration profoundly. Earlier work finds that higher temperatures reduce agricultural yields, which in turn reduces migration rates in low-income countries, due to liquidity constraints. We test whether access to irrigation modulates this temperature–migration relationship, since irrigation buffers agricultural incomes from high temperatures. We regress measures of international and internal migration on decadal averages of temperature and rainfall, interacted with country-level data on irrigation and income. We find robust evidence that, for poor countries, irrigation access significantly offsets the negative effect of increasing temperatures on internal migration, as proxied by urbanization rates. Our results demonstrate the importance of considering alternative adaptation strategies when analyzing climate-induced migration.

• Lundi 15 février 2021 17:30-18:20

  Via Zoom

  GAPONIUK Nikita (Uni. Luxembourg) : International Migration Unions

  Résumé

  The prevalence of protectionist migration policies lead to the fact that more than 80% of the world population cannot work in any foreign country without a permit. Though a cooperation on labor mobility is an important driver of economic growth, joint economic benefits do not seem to suffice political demands. By endogenizing migration policy in a dynamic gravity setup, we study matching between countries and identify economic and political obstacles of complete liberalization of the labor movement. Based on the analysis of 9 OECD countries, we explain why geographic proximity, trade intensity, similar governmental attitudes and heterogeneity in a dominant type of ownership benefit labor mobility, while difference in technologies and capital intensity does not. Additionally, we argue how redistribution, voting mechanism, and the taste for freedom mutually determine the welfare gains and political viability of migration unions.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 10 février 2021 17:30-18:30

  BEINE Michel (University of Luxemburg) : New York, Abu Dhabi, London or Stay Home? Identifying Complex Substitution Patterns in Migration with a Cross-Nested Logit Model

  BIERLAIRE Michel (EPFL)

  DOCQUIER Frédéric (LISER)

  Résumé

  The question of how people revise their decisions of whether and where to emigrate when facing changes in the global environment is of critical importance in the migration literature. We propose a cross-nested logit (CNL) approach to generalize the way deviations from the IIA hypothesis can be tested and exploited in migration studies. Compared to the widely used logit model, the structure of the CNL model allows for more sophisticated substitution patterns between destinations. To illustrate the relevance of our approach, we provide a case study on migration aspiration data from India. We demonstrate that the CNL approach over-performs standard competing approaches in terms of quality of fit, has stronger predictive power, implies stronger heterogeneneity in responses to shocks, and highlights complex and intuitive substitution patterns between all possible alternatives. In particular, we shed light on the low substitutability between the home and foreign alternatives as well as on the subgroups of countries that are considered by Indian potential movers as highly or poorly substitutable.

• Lundi 8 février 2021 17:30-18:20

  Via Zoom

  ZHOU Ling (TSE) : Marriage, Migration Policy, and Migration: Evidence from the Hukou Reform in China

  Résumé

  Do marriage prospects affect migration decisions? To what extent do marriage choices shape the migration responses to merit-based policies that regulate access to locals' benefits? The fact that marrying locals allows migrants to overcome the constraints of regulations brings two effects. First, migrants benefit more from becoming locals by being more attractive in the marriage market. Second, migrants adjust spouse choices according to regulations. The comparative statics of a parsimonious model show that merit-based policies may have substantial indirect impacts on the demographics of migrants. China is ideal to study the questions. The hukou system controls internal migration by restricting migrants' access to local public services, and there are rich, comparable policy variations since 1997. I estimate a dynamic marriage and migration model using the data in 2000 and 2005 and conduct two exercises for 2000. First, by shutting down marriages between couples with different hukou, the number of young migrants in large cities drops by 5.6% for males and 12.8% for females. One-third of the drops are due to the privileges of marrying locals. Second, if migrants can get local hukou immediately, migrant flows increase by 3.9 times for males and 3.0 times for females.

• Mercredi 3 février 2021 17:30-18:30

  Via Zoom

  AMUEDO-DORANTES Catalina (University of California Merced) : Fertility Implications of Family-Based Regularizations

  BORRA Cristina (Universidad de Sevilla)

  RIVERA-GARRIDO Noelia (Universidad de Loyola Andalucía)

  Résumé

  We examine the fertility impact of a change in immigration policy granting temporary legal status to undocumented immigrants based on their offspring’s nationality. The policy, enacted in a 2011 Royal Decree in Spain, recognized the ability for undocumented parents of eligible nationalities to become temporary legal residents if they had a Spanish child. Using data from the Spanish Labor Force Survey (2007-2016), along with a quasi-experimental approach that exploits the change in legal residency eligibility requirements, we show that the decree increased the childbearing likelihood of eligible mothers by 48 percent, increasing the overall fertility rate by 0.4 percent.

• Lundi 1er février 2021 17:30-18:20

  Via Zoom

  OZGUZEL Cem (OECD) : The Cushioning Effect of Immigrant Mobility: Evidence from the Great Recession in Spain

  Résumé

  This paper provides the first direct evidence on how the labor mobility of immigrants cushions natives during a labor demand shock. Spain was one of the hardest-hit economies during the Great Recession. Faced with a drop in the local labor demand, immigrant workers moved to other locations in Spain or left the country, generating significant decreases in labor supply. Focusing on this episode, using microdata from municipal registers and longitudinal Spanish administrative data, I study the effects of out-migration of the immigrant population from a province on the wages and employment of the remaining natives. I build a shift-share instrument based on the past settlements of the immigrant population across Spain to instrument outflows and argue for a causal relationship. I find that out-migration of immigrants slowed down the decline in employment and wage of the natives, especially for those with higher substitutability with the leaving population. Moreover, I find that employment effects are driven by increased entry to the employment of individuals who were unemployed or inactive, while wage effects were limited to those who were already employed. These findings indicate that through their mobility, immigrants diffused the incidence of local shocks and cushioned the natives by slowing down decline in their wages and employment.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 27 janvier 2021 17:30-18:30

  Via Zoom

  VEZINA Pierre-Louis (Kings College London) : Enemies of the people

  TOEWS Gerhard (New Economic School)

  Résumé

  Enemies of the people were the millions of artists, engineers, professors, and affluent peasants that were thought a threat to the Soviet regime for being the educated elite, and were forcedly resettled to the Gulag, i.e. the system of forced labor camps across the Soviet Union. In this paper we look at the long-run consequences of this dark re-location episode. We show that areas around camps with a larger share of enemies among camp prisoners are more prosperous today, as captured by firms' wages and profits, as well as night lights per capita. We also show that the descendants of enemies are more likely to be tertiary educated today. Our results point in the direction of a long-run persistence of education and a resulting positive effect on local economic outcomes. A 28 percentage point increase in the share of enemies increases night lights per capita by 58%, profits per employee by 65%, and average wages by 22%.

• Lundi 25 janvier 2021 17:30-18:20

  via Zoom

  DELGADO-PRIETO Lukas (UC3M) : Dynamics of Local Wages and Employment: Evidence from the Venezuelan Immigration in Colombia

  Résumé

  The unprecedented socioeconomic and political deterioration of Venezuela has triggered a massive outflow of people leaving the country since 2016, both in a voluntary and a forced manner. Colombia has been the major receiver country with more than 1.2 million working-age Venezuelans (4.1% of the working-age population living in Colombia) as of 2019. I use this quasi-natural experiment to identify the causal impact of the Venezuelan immigration on the Colombian labor market. To analyze dynamic treatment effects I implement an event-study design with two different shift-share instruments. For both instruments I find that immigration from Venezuela had a highly negative short-run effect on local native wages since 2017, and the impact is mainly suffered by less skilled workers and workers without access to social security. Moreover, wages in lower percentiles of the native local wage distribution are severely more affected compared to those in upper percentiles. In terms of native employment, I find a delayed negative response after controlling for preexisting trends. On aggregate, the supply shock affected mainly the informal labor market with lower wages and higher employment on average.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 20 janvier 2021 17:30-18:30

  via Zoom

  ANELLI Massimo (Bocconi University) : Geographic sorting and aversion to breaking rules

  Tommaso Colussi and Andrea Ichino

  Résumé

  The level of Aversion to Breaking Rules (ABR) is heterogeneous across nearby localities in many areas of the world and geographic sorting based on ABR maybe a reason. In this paper we use Italian Census restricted data to construct an indicator of cheating in the registration of birth dates, separately for migrants and remainers at the city/time level in Italy so that we can measure sorting based on ABR between the North and the South of the country. A simple theoretical model predicts that the fraction of ABR agents is higher in the group where less cheating is observed and where a change of deterrence induces a smaller absolute change in observed cheating. In light of the model, we first show that, within narrowly defined localities, migrants from South to North are less likely to cheat on their birthdate than remainers in the South, while the opposite is observed for migrants from North to South versus remainers in the North. We then exploit an institutional reform implemented by Fascism in 1926 to study how cheating on the date of birth reacts to changes in deterrence. The reactions of cheating to these changes in deterrence were smaller for migrants out of the South than for remainers in the South. We therefore conclude that Italy experienced sorting based on ABR between the North and the South and that the South suffered an ABR drain because of the internal migration movements of the 20th century. Finally, we show that localities experiencing a greater ABR drain display lower labor productivity in recent decades.

• Lundi 18 janvier 2021 17:30-18:20

  via Zoom

  GAZEAUD Jules (NOVAFRICA) : Cash Transfers and Migration: Theory and Evidence from a Randomized ControlledTrial

  Eric Mvukiyehe and Olivier Sterck

  Résumé

  Will the fast expansion of cash-based programming in developing countries increase international migration? Theoretically, cash transfers may foster international migration by relaxing liquidity, credit, and risk constraints. But transfers, especially those conditional upon staying at home, may also increase the opportunity cost of migrating abroad. This paper evaluates the impact of a cash-for-work program on migration. Randomly selected households in Comoros were offered up to US$320 in cash in exchange for their participation in public works projects. We find that the program increased international migration by 38 percent, from 7.8 percent to 10.8 percent. The increase in migration appears to be driven by the alleviation of liquidity and risk constraints, and by the fact that the program did not increase the opportunity cost of migration for likely migrants.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 13 janvier 2021 17:30-18:30

  via Zoom

  TEYTELBOYM Alexander (University of Oxford) : An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan

  Stefano Caria, Grant Gordon, Maximilian Kasy, Simon Quinn and Soha Shami

  Résumé

  We introduce a novel methodology for adaptive targeted experiments. Our Tempered Thompson Algorithm balances the goals of maximizing the precision of treatment effect estimates and maximizing the welfare of experimental participants. A hierarchical Bayesian model allows us to adaptively target treatments at different groups. We implement our methodology in a field experiment. We examine the impact of three interventions designed to improve formal employment outcomes of Syrian refugees and local jobseekers in Jordan: one treatment to address liquidity constraints, one to address information frictions, and one to address challenges of self-control. Six weeks after being offered treatment, none of the interventions has a significant or meaningful impact on the probability that individuals are in wage employment; we estimate that our targeting algorithm had a positive but small effect on aggregate employment (approximately 1 percentage point). However, we find large employment effects of all treatments for refugees at the two-month follow-up, and suggestive evidence of four-month impacts for the cash grant; liquidity appears to be a key barrier to employment for refugees.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 11 janvier 2021 17:30-18:20

  via Zoom

  LUKSIC Juan : Can immigration affect neighborhood effects? Accounting for the indirect effects of immigrants on native test scores

  Résumé

  Migratory waves can affect native students through immigrant peer effects. But immigration and native response can also change neighborhoods. In this paper, I compare two different methods to analyze the impact of immigration on children test scores and show that broader changes in the neighborhood can indeed be important. I study this question by focusing on 4th-grade test scores in the context of the recent migratory phenomenon in Chile, where, from 2012 to 2019, the immigrant population increased from nearly 1% to 8%. Following Chetty and Hendren’s (2018a, 2018b) methodology, I estimate the effect of each municipality on test scores using a fixed effect regression model identified by students who move across municipalities at different ages. Then, I construct a shift-share instrument by taking shares from the 2002 census and estimate the impact of immigrant arrivals on the municipality effects. On average, I find a negative impact of foreign students on the municipality effects. My estimation suggests that a 1 standard deviation increase in the proportion of immigrant students in a municipality causes 1 percentile decrease in student test scores per year spent. Then, I estimate immigrant peer effect (Hoxby, 2000). I find a precise null effect using comparison across school cohorts and classes. These results suggest that migration may affect natives through indirect effects. In fact, the presence of native flights and an increase in socioeconomic segregation across schools fuel the indirect effect hypothesis.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 16 décembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  STANTCHEVA Stefanie (Harvard University) : Immigration and redistribution

  Alberto Alesina and Armando Miano

  Résumé

  We design and conduct large-scale surveys and experiments in six countries to investigate how natives perceive immigrants and how these perceptions influence their preferences for redistribution. We find strikingly large misperceptions about the number and characteristics of immigrants: in all countries, respondents greatly overestimate the total number of immigrants, think immigrants are culturally and religiously more distant from them, and are economically weaker -- less educated, more unemployed, and more reliant on and favored by government transfers -- than is the case. Given the very negative baseline views that respondents have of immigrants, simply making them think about immigration before asking questions about redistribution, in a randomized manner, makes them support less redistribution, including actual donations to charities. Information about the true shares and origins of immigrants is ineffective, and mainly acts as a prime that makes people think about immigrants and reduces their support for redistribution. An anecdote about a "hard working'' immigrant is somewhat more effective, suggesting that when it comes to immigration, salience and narratives shape people's views more deeply than hard facts.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 2 décembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  SARDOSCHAU Sulin (Humboldt University) : Do refugees converge to local culture? Evidence from German regions

  Philipp Jaschke and Marco Tabellini

  Résumé

  TBA

• Lundi 30 novembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  ARELLANO-BOVER Jaime (Yale University) : The Role of Firms in the Assimilation of Immigrants

  with Shmuel San

  Résumé

  This paper studies the role of firms in immigrants’ labor market assimilation. We do so in the context of a large and sudden international migration shock: the arrival of nearly one million former Soviet Union (FSU) Jews to Israel in the 1990s. We use newly avail- able Israeli population employer-employee data with information on workers’ place of birth and immigration year. Over the course of twenty-five years since arrival to Is- rael, immigrants gradually enter higher-paying, larger, older, and less segregated firms. Gradual access to higher-paying firms explains a significant fraction of immigrants’ labor market assimilation. Firm-specific pay premiums account for (i) 10–12% of the immigrant-native salary differential in the first ten years since arrival, and (ii) 28% of the gap between immigrants’ own salary one and twenty-five years since arrival. FSU immigrants, who were highly educated, surpass natives after twenty years in Israel in terms of their employers’ pay premiums, size, and age. An implication of our find- ings is that a significant fraction of the immigrant-native wage gap, especially shortly after arrival, is due to immigrants finding jobs at small, new, and disproportionately low-paying firms.

• Mercredi 25 novembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  ZAVODNY Madeline (University of North Florida) : Immigration, Working Conditions, and Compensating Differentials

  with Chad Sparber

  Résumé

  The large inflow of less-educated immigrants that the United States has received in recent decades can worsen or improve U.S. natives’ labor market opportunities. Although there is a general consensus that low-skilled immigrants tend to hold “worse” jobs than U.S. natives, the impact of immigration on U.S. natives’ working conditions has received little attention. This study examines how immigration affected U.S. natives’ occupational exposure to workplace hazards and the return to such exposure over 1990 to 2018. The results indicate that immigration causes less-educated U.S. natives’ exposure to workplace hazards to fall, and instrumental variables results show a larger impact among women than among men. The compensating differential paid for hazard exposure appears to fall as well, but not after accounting for immigration-induced changes in the returns to occupational skills.

• Lundi 23 novembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  SLUNGAARD MUMMA Kirsten (Harvard University) : Immigrant Integration in the United States: The Role of Adult English Language Training

  with Blake Heller

  Résumé

  While current debates center on whether and how to admit immigrants to the United States, little attention has been paid to interventions designed to help immigrants integrate after they arrive. Public adult education programs are the primary policy lever for building the language skills of the over 23 million adults with limited English proficiency in the United States. We leverage the enrollment lottery of a publicly-funded adult English for Speakers of Other Languages (ESOL) program in Massachusetts to estimate the effects of English language training on voting behavior and employer-reported earnings. Attending ESOL classes more than doubles rates of voter registration and increases annual earnings by $2,400 (56%). We estimate that increased tax revenue from earnings gains fully pay for program costs over time, generating a 6% annual return for taxpayers. Our results demonstrate the social value of post-migration investments in the human capital of adult immigrants.

• Mercredi 18 novembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  GÖRLACH Joseph-Simon (Bocconi University) : Temporary Migration and Entrepreneurship in Bangladesh

  ÖZDEN Çağlar ( World Bank )

  with Laurent Bossavie and He Wang

• Lundi 16 novembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  PORCHER Charly (Dartmouth College) : Migration with Costly Information

  Résumé

  Information is critical for migration decisions. Yet, depending on where they reside and who they interact with, individuals may face different costs of accessing information about employment opportunities. How does this imperfect and heterogeneous information structure affect the spatial allocation of economic activity and welfare? I develop a quantitative dynamic model of migration with costly information acquisition and local information sharing. Rationally inattentive agents optimally acquire more information about nearby locations and learn about other locations from the migrants around them. I apply this model to internal migration in Brazil and estimate it using migration flows between regions. To illustrate its quantitative implications, I evaluate the counterfactual effects of the roll-out of broadband internet in Brazil. By allowing workers to make better mobility choices, expanding internet access increases average welfare by 1.6%, reduces migration flows by 1.2% and reduces the cross-sectional dispersion in earnings by 4%.

• Mercredi 11 novembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  MEIER Stephan (Columbia) : Growing up in a Recession Increases Compassion? The Case of Attitudes towards Immigration

  COTOFAN Maria (LSE)

  DUR Robert (Erasmus University Rotterdam))

  Résumé

  Macroeconomic conditions during young adulthood have a persistent impact on people's attitudes and preferences. The seminal paper by Giuliano and Spilimbergo (2014) shows that people who grew up in a recession are more likely to favor government redistribution and assistance to the poor. Moreover, they are more likely to believe that bad luck rather than a lack of hard work causes poverty, i.e. they seem to be more compassionate towards the poor. In this paper, we investigate how inclusive this increase in compassion is by studying how macroeconomic conditions when young affect attitudes towards immigration. Using data from the General Social Survey and the World Value Survey, we find strong evidence that bad macroeconomic circumstances when young strengthen attitudes against immigration for the rest of people's lives. In line with this, we also find that people who grew up in a recession are more likely to agree that, when jobs are scarce, employers should give priority to native-born citizens rather than to immigrants. Our results thus suggest that the underlying motive for more government redistribution in response to a recession does not originate from a universal increase in compassion, but rather seems to be more self-interested and restricted to one's own in-group.

• Lundi 9 novembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  SCHNEIDER Sarah (PSE) : Hosting Refugee and Voting for the Far-Right: Evidence from France

  Résumé

  Does exposure to refugees change the political preferences of natives towards far-right parties, and how does this change in preferences occur? This paper examines the political economy of refugee-hosting. Using the opening of refugee centers in France between 1995 and 2017, I show that voting for far-right parties in cities with such opening between two presidential elections falls by about 2 percent. The drop in far-right voting is higher in municipalities with a small population, working in the primary and secondary sectors, with low educational levels and few migrants. I show that this negative effect can not be explained by an economic channel, but rather by a composition channel, through natives' avoidance, and a contact channel, through natives' exposure to refugees. I provide suggestive evidence that too-disruptive exposure to refugees, as measured by the magnitude of the inflows, the cultural distance and the media salience of refugees, can mitigate the beneficial effects of contact on reducing far-right support.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 4 novembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  MONRAS Joan (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) : Immigration and Spatial Equilibrium: The Role of Expenditures in the Country of Origin

  ALBERT CRISTOPH (CEMFI)

  Résumé

  We show that immigrants in the US concentrate in expensive cities, the earnings gap between natives and immigrants is larger in these cities, and these patterns are stronger when prices in the country of origin are lower. To rationalize this empirical evidence, we propose a quantitative spatial equilibrium model in which immigrants spend a fraction of their income in their countries of origin. Our model serves two purposes. First, to develop a new instrument for immigrant shocks that we use to test the model’s predictions on native internal relocation responses. Second, to evaluate the consequences of immigration for aggregate productivity.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 2 novembre 2020 17:30-18:20

  HAMMAR Olle (Uppsalla University) : The Cultural Assimilation of Individualism and Preferences for Redistribution

  Résumé

  In this study, I analyze the relationship between individualism and preferences for income redistribution and equality, using variation in immigrants’ countries of origin to capture the impact of cultural beliefs on individual preferences. Using global survey data for a large number of individuals and countries around the world, I find strong support for the hypothesis that coming from a more individualistic culture is negatively and significantly associated with an individual’s preferences for redistribution. The results are confirmed using a variety of robustness checks, including matching estimators and the grammatical rule of a pronoun drop as an instrumental variable. Cultural assimilation analysis, however, indicates that the impact of the cultural origin weakens off with time spent in the new country, and that the culture of origin has no statistically significant effect on an individual’s current preferences for redistribution if migration took place before the age of 10.

• Mercredi 28 octobre 2020 17:30-18:30

  MC KENZIE David (World Bank) : Testing Classic Theories of Migration in the Lab

  BATISTA Catia (Nova SBE)

  Résumé

  We use incentivized laboratory experiments to investigate how potential migrants make decisions between working in different destinations in order to test the predictions ofdifferent classic theories of migration. We test theories of income maximization, migrant skill-selection, and multi-destination choice and how the predictions and behavior under these theories vary as we vary migration costs, liquidity constraints, risk,social benefits, and incomplete information. We show how the basic income maximization model of migration with selection on observed and unobserved skills leads to a much higher migration rate and more negative skill-selection than is obtained when migration decisions take place under more realistic assumptions. Second, we find evidence of a home bias, where simply labelling a destination as “home” causes more people to choose that location. Thirdly, we investigate whether the independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) assumption holds. We find it holds for most people when decisions just involve wages, costs, and liquidity constraints. However, once we add a risk of unemployment and incomplete information, IIA no longer holds for about 20 percent of our sample.

• Lundi 26 octobre 2020 17:30-18:20

  GOVIND Yajna (PSE) : Is naturalization a passport for better labor market integration? Evidence from a quasi-experimental setting

  Résumé

  Better integration is beneficial for migrants and the host country. In this respect, granting citizenship is deemed to be an important policy to boost migrants’ integration. In this paper, I estimate the causal impact of obtaining citizenship on migrants’ labor market integration. I exploit a change in the law of naturalization through marriage in France in 2006. This reform amended the eligibility criteria of applicants by increasing the required number of years of marital life from 2 to 4, providing a quasi-experimental setting. Using administrative panel data, I first show evidence of the impact of the reform on the naturalization rates. I then use a dynamic triple differences model to estimate the labor market returns to naturalization. I find that, among those working, citizenship leads to an increase in annual earnings by 28%. It is driven by a significant increase in the number of hours worked, as well as an effect on hourly wages. A gender decomposition reveals that both men and women experience an increase in earnings, while the effect on the number of hours worked is stronger for men. I further show that obtaining the nationality potentially helps to reduce discrimination by signaling better language proficiency. This paper thus provides evidence that naturalization acts as a catalyst for labor market integration.

• Mercredi 21 octobre 2020 17:30-18:30

  MICHAEL CLEMENS (Center for Global Developpement) : Migration from Developing Countries: Selection, Income Elasticity, and Simpson's Paradox

  MENDOLA Mariapia (Univ.Milano Bicocca)

  Résumé

  How does immigration affect incomes in the countries migrants go to, and how do rising incomes shape emigration from the countries they leave? The answers depend on whether people who migrate have higher or lower productivity than people who do not migrate. Theory on this subject has long exceeded evidence. We present estimates of emigrant selection on both observed and unobserved determinants of income, from across the developing world. We use nationally representative survey data on 7,013 people making active, costly preparations to emigrate from 99 developing countries during 2010–2015. We model the relationship between these measures of selection and the income elasticity of migration. In low-income countries, people actively preparing to emigrate have 30 percent higher incomes than others overall, 14 percent higher incomes explained by observable traits such as schooling, and 12 percent higher incomes explained by unobservable traits. Within low-income countries the income elasticity of emigration demand is 0.23. The world's poor collectively treat migration not as an inferior good, but as a normal good. Any negative effect of higher income on emigration within subpopulations can reverse in the aggregate, because the composition of subpopulations shifts as incomes rise—an instance of Simpson's paradox.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 19 octobre 2020 17:30-18:20

  LEVAI Adam (UCLouvain) : The Impact of Immigration on Workers Protection

  Résumé

  Even though the current literature investigating the labor market impact of immigration assumes implicitly or explicitly labor market regulation as exogenous to immigration (both in terms of size and composition) - this is not necessarily the case. This paper shows that the composition of the immigrant population affects the degree of workers protection over a sample of 70 developed and developing countries from 1970 to 2010. After building a workers protection index based on 36 labor law variables and exploiting a dynamic panel setting using both internal and external instruments, we find that migrants impact the destination countries' workers protection mainly through the degree of workers protection experienced in their origin countries, captured by an "epidemiological" effect. On the other hand, the size of the immigrant population has a small and rather insignificant effect. The results are robust to alternative and competing immigration effects such as diversity, polarization and skill-selection. The effects are particularly strong across two dimensions of the workers protection index: worker representation laws and employment forms laws. This paper provides suggestive evidence that immigrants' participation to unions and its implications for the political actors is one of the potential mechanisms through which the epidemiological effect could materialize. Finally, calculations based on the estimated coefficients suggest that immigration contributes to a reduction of the degree of workers protection, particularly in OECD high-income countries.

• Mercredi 14 octobre 2020 17:30-18:30

  RAPOPORT Hillel (PSE) : Migration and Cultural Change

  with Salin Sardoschau (Humbolt University) and Arthur Silve (Université de Laval)

  Résumé

  We examine both theoretically and empirically how migration affects cultural change in home and host countries. Our theoretical model integrates various compositional and cultural transmission mechanisms of migration-based cultural change for which it delivers distinctive testable predictions on the sign and direction of convergence. We then use the World Value Survey for the period 1981-2014 to build time-varying measures of cultural similarity for a large number of country pairs and exploit within country-pair variation over time. Our evidence is inconsistent with the view that immigrants are a threat to the host country’s culture. While migrants do act as vectors of cultural diffusion and bringabout cultural convergence, this is mostly to disseminate cultural values and norms from host to home countries (i.e., cultural remittances).

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 12 octobre 2020 17:30-18:20

  SIGNORELLI Sara (PSE) : Do Skilled Migrants Compete with Native Workers? Analysis of a Selective Immigration Policy

  Résumé

  In recent years high-skill immigration has been often encouraged by governments aiming to support their economy, but its impact on native workers facing a direct increase in competition is still debated. This paper addresses the question by taking advantage of a reform facilitating the hiring of foreign workers within a list of technical occupations. The analysis relies on administrative employer-employee data and applies a difference-in-differences approach. Results show that the reform was successful in boosting migrants' hires without affecting native employment. Wages decrease following the supply shift but, in contrast with the standard model predictions, do so twice as much for migrants than for natives. I find that two channels explain this differential effect: imperfect degree of substitution in production and differences in bargaining power. Overall, this paper provides evidence that policies encouraging high-skill migration do not excessively harm the native labor force.

• Mercredi 7 octobre 2020 17:30-18:30

  A. ERIKSSON Katherine (UC Davis) : Understanding the Success of the Know Nothing Party

  Marcella Alsan and Gregory Niemesh

  Résumé

  The Know-Nothing Party swept to power in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in 1854, running on a staunchly anti-Catholic and anti-Irish platform. In this paper, we examine the contribution of various factors that have been hypothesized to contribute to the party’s success. We digitize several censuses to develop exposure measures of shocks to labor supply and demand as well as measures of Irish assimilation and the fiscal burden associated with foreign-born paupers. Consistent with Fogel’s hypothesis, we find labor market crowd-out from the Irish is positively correlated with Know-Nothing vote shares. Yet, as emphasized by Mulkern (1990) industrialization and associated deskilling of the labor force was as important. These two forces played a decisive role in some, but not all, years of the Know-Nothing’s electoral success and stronghold locations were unaffected by both. Lastly, we find migration and occupational upgrading partially offset the negative association between Irish labor crowdout and the evolution of wealth for native-born men.

• Mercredi 30 septembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  GUBERT Flore (DIAL,PSE) : Is migration drought-induced in Mali? An empirical analysis using panel data on Malian localities over the 1987-2009 period

  DELASSALE Esther (UCLouvain)

  with Dimitri Defrance

  Résumé

  This paper combines population census data and climate data to estimate the volume of migrations induced by the drought events that have hit Mali since the late 1980s. The results show that the droughts that have unevenly affected the regions of Mali have had the effect of increasing migration from rural to urban areas. This is true for both men and women, regardless of the age group considered. Between 1998 and 2009, droughts translate into an additional net outflow of 7,134 male and 6,281 female rural migrants per year. The effect of drought episodes, however, differs according to localities and rural households' capacity to adapt to climatic constraints: it fades in localities characterized by more diversified crops and in those located in the Sudano-Sahelian and Sudano-Guinean zones that receive more rainfall on average. Climate shocks also had an impact on international mobility: over the 2004-2009 period, around 2,000 additional departures per year can be attributed to the dry episodes that hit Mali during the 2000s. We forecast that, under different climate scenarios and population growth projection, internal and international mobility induced by droughts events will substantially grow in the next decades

• Mercredi 16 septembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  BECK KNUDSEN Anne Sofie (Harvard University) : Those Who Stayed: Selection and Cultural Change in the Age of Mass Migration

  Résumé

  This paper studies the cultural causes and consequences of mass emigration from Scandinavia in the 19th century. I test the hypothesis that people with individualistic traits were more likely to emigrate, because they faced lower costs of leaving established social networks behind. Data from population censuses and passenger lists confirm this hypothesis. Children who grew up in households with nonconformist naming practices, nuclear family structures, and weak ties to parents’ birthplaces were on average more likely to emigrate later in life. Selection was weaker under circumstances that reduced the social costs of emigration. This was the case with larger migration networks abroad, and in situations where people emigrated collectively. Based on these findings, I expect emigration to generate cultural change towards reduced individualism in migrant-sending locations, through a combination of initial compositional effects and intergenerational cultural transmission. This is confirmed in a cross-district setting with measures of actual cultural change over the medium and long run.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 9 septembre 2020 17:30-18:30

  ROZO Sandra (Marshall School of Business of USC) : Give me Your Tired and Your Poor: Impact of a Large-Scale Amnesty Program for Undocumented

  BAHAR Dany (Brookings)

  with Ana-Maria Ibanez

• Lundi 13 juillet 2020 16:00-17:30

  https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJYpcOutqD8jEtIoiIfcpKvi56TJQtUxlZli

  JUNIOR SEMINAR

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 29 juin 2020 16:00-17:30

  https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJIodu-hqDIpE9RhnG_QmmkleBzCxlJGhtOn

  JUNIOR SEMINAR

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 24 juin 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_7SngrP6FQ8ySS48KBu51AA

  MOSER Petra (NYU Stern) : *

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 17 juin 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__7MfHkk0RF6dA8PwhJdQBw

  LLULL Joan (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona) : *

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 15 juin 2020 16:00-17:30

  https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJUkcOGtqTgjGdZ7maGSPmdXMB5vPzDuyyML

  DJOURELOVA Milena (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) : JUNIOR SEMINAR: Media Persuasion through Slanted Language: Evidence from the Coverage of Immigration

  LEVY Antoine : JUNIOR SEMINAR: Understanding the Origins of Populist Political Parties and the Role of External Shocks

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 10 juin 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_42hTw_wvQFeeK31W7LyzwQ

  YANG Dean (University of Michigan) : *

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 8 juin 2020 16:00-17:30

  https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJYpdeutqTwpHdcFjYewvoIrNE0N6d4o-uJB

  ESCAMILLA-GUERRERO David (Pembroke College University of Oxford) : JUNIOR SEMINAR: Migrant self-selection in the presence of random shocks. Evidence from the Panic of 1907

  SANT ANNA Vinicios (University of Illinois) : JUNIOR SEMINAR: Send Them Back? The Real Estate Consequences of Repatriations

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 3 juin 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_QiySMk7bQrKq5d47wWB5Pg

  ARENAS-ARROYO Esther (Vienna University of Economics and Business) : *

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 27 mai 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_oOx9mNg2QxmWi73vB8WvkQ

  PERI Giovanni (University of California Davis) : Integrating Refugees: Language Training or Work-First Incentives?

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 20 mai 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_krHYn-19QuSZRFL3AdqUtw

  MAYDA Anna Maria (Georgetown University) : *

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 18 mai 2020 04:00-05:30

  https://zoom.us/j/91521532483?pwd=UG5tL3I2NU9VSFMyejV1eEpiZWl3UT09

  RENNER Laura (University of Freiburg) : Junior Seminar: A ‘Good Deal’? U.S. Military Aid and Refugee Flows to the United States

  SCHMID Lena (University of Freiburg) : Junior Seminar: The Decision to Flee: Analyzing Gender-Specific Determinants of International Refugee Migration

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 13 mai 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_skDEDq9DSCO6BkQ1p5JKZQ

  MOBARAK Mushfik (Yale University) : *

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 6 mai 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_-b5FPHqCRZqYpGyOtDExHg

  SPITZER Yannay (Hebrew University of Jerusalem) : Testing the Diffusion Hypothesis of Mass Migration, Italy 1876-1920

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 29 avril 2020 17:30-18:30

  https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_zYJJKlnFQHOvQOT5YWMjWg

  STEINMAYR Andreas (LMU Munich) : Immigrating into a Recession

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 22 avril 2020 17:30-18:30

  BEINE Michel (University of Luxemburg) : Assessing the Role of Immigration Policy for Foreign Students: the Case of Campus France

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Vendredi 17 avril 2020 17:30-18:30

  RAVALLION Martin (Georgetown University) : A Market for Work Permits

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 17 mars 2020 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  BEINE Michel (University of Luxemburg) : CANCELLED: Assessing the Role of Immigration Policy for Foreign Students: the Case of Campus France

  RAVALLION Martin (Georgetown University) : CANCELLED: A Market for Work Permits

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 11 février 2020 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  GATHMANN Christina (LISER) : Marginal Returns to Citizenship and Skill Development

  LUKSIC Juan : Can immigration affect students skills-based neighborhood effect? Lessons from the recent migratory wave in Chile

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 21 janvier 2020 15:30-19:00

  Campus Condorcet, Centre de Colloques, Salle 3.03

  BERTOLI Simone (Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, CERDI, IZA, ICM) : *

  LOCHMANN Alexia (PSE)

  SOLIGNAC Matthieu (Université de Bordeaux, CNRS, Comptrasec ; Ined; ICM)

  TOMA Sorana (ENSAE, ICM)

  WREN-LEWIS LIAM Liam (PSE/INRA, ICM)

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Jeudi 12 décembre 2019

  OECD Conference Centre – 2, rue Andre-Pascal 75775 Paris CEDEX 16

  Immigration in OECD countries, 9th annual conference

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 19 novembre 2019 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  VALETTE Jérôme (Univ.Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne) : Border Apprehensions, Salience of Hispanic Identity and Sentences in the US Federal Criminal Justice System

  FERNÁNDEZ-HUERTAS MORAGA Jesus (University Carlos III Madrid) : Processing time and the location choice of asylum seekers across European countries

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 15 octobre 2019 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  BATISTA Catia (Nova SBE) : Testing Classic Theories of Migration in the Lab

  TURATI Riccardo (UCLouvain) : Network-based Connectedness and the Diffusion of Cultural Traits

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 17 septembre 2019 16:00-17:30

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  TABELLINI Marco (Harvard) : Legislators’ Response to Changes in the Electorate: The Great Migration and Civil Rights

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 11 juin 2019 09:30-17:30

  Maison des Sciences Economiques, 6th Floor

  JASI – PSE – ICM Dynamics Workshop on the Economics of Immigration

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 21 mai 2019 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  ATKIN David (MIT& CPER) : How Do We Choose Our Identity? A Revealed Preference Approach Using Food Consumption

  SPECIALE Biagio (Paris 1/PSE) : Tell me what you eat, I will tell you who you are: Migrants’ Integration and Big Food Data

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 16 avril 2019 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  MERCIER Marion (Université Paris-Dauphine) : The joint dynamics of emigration and conflict: From peace-wrecking to peace-building diasporas

  SEROR Marlon (University of Bristol) : Migrants and Firms: Evidence from China

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 12 mars 2019 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  ANELLI Massimo (Bocconi University) : Youth Drain, Entrepreneurship and Innovation

  OREFICE Gianluca (CEPII) : Immigration and Worker-Firm Matching

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 19 février 2019 16:30-19:00

  PSE, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris, Salle R1-09

  MAYDA Anna Maria (Georgetown University) : The Labor Market Impact of Refugees: Evidence from the U.S. Resettlement Program

  EDO Anthony (CEPII) : The Impact of Immigration on Wage Dynamics: Evidence from the Algerian Independence War

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 29 janvier 2019 16:30-19:00

  Collège de France, 3 Rue d'Ulm 75005 Paris (salle de réunion du 4ème étage)

  BEAUCHEMIN Cris : *

  MILLOCK Katrin (PSE)

  UKRAYINCHUK Nadiya

  SPECIALE Biagio (Paris 1/PSE)

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 10 décembre 2018 09:00-17:30

  46, quai Alphonse Le Gallo - 92100 Boulogne - Billancourt

  8th Annual Conference on Immigration in OECD countries

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 28 novembre 2018 09:00-18:30

  CEPII, Room 4.112, 20 Avenue de Segur, 75007 Paris

  CEPII-EPFL Workshop on “Migration, Innovation and Knowledge Economy”

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 16 octobre 2018 16:30-19:00

  PSE salle R1.09, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris

  ELSNER Benjamin (University College Dublin) : Immigrant Voters, Taxation and the Size of the Welfare State

  MURARD Elie (IZA Institute of Labor Economics) : Immigration and Attitudes toward Redistribution in Europe

• Mardi 25 septembre 2018 16:30-19:00

  PSE salle R1.09, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris

  KARADJA Mounir (Uppsala University) : Mass Migration, Cheap Labor, and Innovation

  ZHURAVSKAYA Ekaterina (PSE) : Forced Migration and Human Capital: Evidence from Post-WWII Population Transfers

  Résumé

  Migration is often depicted as a major problem for struggling developing countries, as they may lose valuable workers and human capital. Yet, its effects on sending regions are ambiguous and depend crucially on local market responses and migrant selection. This paper studies the effects of migration on technological innovation in sending communities during one of the largest migration episodes in human history: the Age of Mass Migration (1850–1913). Using novel historical data on Sweden, where about a quarter of its population migrated, we find that migration caused an increase in technological patents in sending municipalities. To establish causality, we use an instrumental variable design that exploits severe local growing season frost shocks together with within-country travel costs to reach an emigration port. Exploring possible mechanisms, we suggest that increased labor costs, due to low-skilled emigration, induced technological innovation.

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Vendredi 15 juin 2018 15:30-19:00

  PSE , Room R1-09, 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris

  PSE - CEPII Workshop on Big Data and Migration

  Organizers : Hillel Rapoport (PSE and CEPII) and Biagio Speciale (PSE)

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mercredi 30 mai 2018 09:00-19:00

  CEPII, Room 5.107 , 113 rue de Grenelle 75007 Paris

  CEPII and Paris School of Economics Workshop on Migration and Trade

  Organizers : Gianluca Orefice (CEPII) and Hillel Rapoport (PSE and CEPII)

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 10 avril 2018 16:30-19:00

  PSE-CEPII MIGRATION SEMINAR Salle R1-09 48 Boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris

  ADSERA Alicia (Princeton University) : Welfare states, Migration and Selection: Heterogeneous effects of social and econimic rights on migrants flows

  SARVIMÄKI Matti (Aalto University School of Business) : Habit Formation and the Misallocation of Labor: Evidence from Forced Migrations

• Mardi 23 janvier 2018 16:30-19:30

  Campus Jourdan - Room R1-13

  *

  Site : https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/en/research/seminars/migration-seminar/

  Résumé

  16:30 - 17:30 Frédéric Docquier (Université Catholique de Louvain), Global warming, inequality and migration.
  
  17:30 - 18:00 Discussants: Katrin Millock (PSE), Simone Bertoli (CERDI)
  
  18:00 - 18: 15 Break
  
  18:15 - 19:15 Joshua Blumenstock (UC Berkeley), Social networks and international migration
  
  19:15 - 19:45 Discussants: Fosca Giannotti (Pisa), Margherita Comola (PSE)

• Mardi 5 décembre 2017 16:30-19:30

  Salle R1-15, Campus Jourdan, 48 rue Jourdan, 75014 Paris

  ZENOU Yves (Monash University) : Conformism, Social Norms and the Dynamics of Assimilation (co-authors : Gonzalo Olcina and Fabrizio Panebianco)

  COMOLA Margherita (PSE) : Network Formation in Quasi-Experimental Agrarian Reform Settlements: Evidence from Brazil (co-author : Mariapia Mendola)

• Mardi 21 novembre 2017 17:00-18:15

  R1-13

  FASANI Francesco (Queen Mary – University of London) : Border Policies and Unauthorized Flows: Evidence from the Refugee Crisis in Europe

  joint with Tommaso Frattini

• Mardi 10 octobre 2017 16:30-19:30

  Salle R1-13, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris

  BARSBAI Toman (U. Saint-Andrews) : The Economics of Family Reunification - Theory and Evidence from the Universe of Filipino Immigrants to the US

  DE LA RUPELLE Maëlys (Université de Cergy-Pontoise) : Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence from Mexico

  Isabelle Chort

• Lundi 18 septembre 2017 09:30-20:00

  Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris Jourdan

  1st Barcelona-Paris Schools of Economics Joint Workshop on the Economics of Immigration and Diversity

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Lundi 18 septembre 2017 09:00-18:30

  1st Barcelona-Paris Schools of Economics Joint Workshop on the “Economics of Immigration and Diversity”

  Résumé

  Sponsored by the Representation of Catalonia in France
  Paris School of Economics, Paris,
  September 18, 2017
  Workshop Organizers:
  Libertad Gonzalez (UPF), Hillel Rapoport (PSE)
  link to the program : https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/IMG/pdf/paris-barcelona-workshop-sept2017.pdf

• Mardi 16 mai 2017 16:30-19:00

  Salle R1-16, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris

  BERTOLI Simone (Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, CERDI, IZA, ICM) : Migration and co-residence choices
  Human capital externalities, trade openness and migration in Brazil

  PAILLACAR Rodrigo (Université de Cergy-Pontoise) : Human capital externalities, trade openness and migration in Brazil

  Elie Murard

  Résumé

  Human capital externalities, trade openness and migration in Brazil

• Mardi 21 mars 2017 15:00-19:00

  CEPII, Salle Delors (2nd floor), 15h-19h

  STUHLER Jan (Iniversity Carlos III Madrid) : Mini-workshop on The Labor Market Effects of Immigration

  VERDUGO Grégory (Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

  EDO Anthony (CEPII)

  RAPOPORT Hillel (PSE)

  Résumé

  15:00 – 17:00
  Paper 1: Jan Stuhler (University Carlos III Madrid)
  “Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration” (with Joakim Ruist and David Jaeger)
  Discussant: Elie Murard (IZA)
  
  Paper 2: Grégory Verdugo (CES, University Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)
  “Moving Up or Down? Immigration and the Selection of Natives across Occupations and Locations” (with Javier Ortega
  Discussant: Biagio Speciale (PSE-Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)
  
  17:30 – 19:30
  Paper 1: Anthony Edo (CEPII) “The Impact of French Repatriates from Algeria on Wage Dynamics” Discussant: Ekrame Boubtane (CERDI)
  
  Paper 2: Hillel Rapoport (PSE-Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne and CEPII)
  “Minimum Wages and the Labor Market Effects of Immigration” (with Anthony Edo)
  Discussant: Laurine Martinoty (CES, University Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

• Mardi 21 mars 2017 15:00-19:00

  CEPII, Salle Delors, 2nd floor

  Mini-workshop on « The Labor Market Effects of Immigration »

  Texte intégral [pdf]

• Mardi 28 février 2017 16:30-19:00

  Salle S115, MSE, 106 boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013 Paris

  TEYTELBOYM Alex ((Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), University of Oxford) : Refugee Resettlement
  Ethnic networks in Public Housing : Evidence from France

  VERDUGO Grégory (Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne) : Ethnic networks in Public Housing : Evidence from France

  David Delacrétaz, Scott Duke Kominers & Morgane Laouénan

• Mardi 13 décembre 2016 15:30-18:00

  MSE, 106-112 Boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013 Paris, 6th floor

  PINOTTI Paolo (Bocconi University) : Equality of opportunity for immigrant students: Evidence from a large-scale field experiment

  SPECIALE Biagio (Paris 1/PSE) : The Effect of Language Training on Immigrants' Economic Integration: Empirical Evidence from France

  Alexia Lochmann and Hillel Rapoport

• Mardi 25 octobre 2016 16:00-19:00

  Salle Delors, CEPII, 113 rue de Grenelle 75007 Paris

  WORKSHOP “BIG DATA AND MIGRATION: THE NEXT FRONTIER IN MIGRATION MEASUREMENT AND ANALYSIS

  Résumé

  WORKSHOP “BIG DATA AND MIGRATION: THE NEXT FRONTIER IN MIGRATION MEASUREMENT AND ANALYSIS
  PSE and CEPII
  
  Agenda
  Session 1: 16:00 – 17:30
  - Simone Bertoli, (CERDI, University of Auvergne):
  “So Little Data: Existing Information Sources on International Migration Flows”
  - Fosca Gianotti, (Information Science and Technology Institute, Pisa):
  “Data-driven models of human mobility”
  Discussant: Frédéric Docquier, (Catholic University of Louvain)
  
  Coffee Break: 17:30 – 18:00
  
  Session 2: 18:00 – 19:00
  Dino Pedreschi, (University of Pisa):
  “Big Data, Diversity and Wellbeing”
  Discussant: Philipp Ketz, (Paris School of Economics)

• Mardi 25 octobre 2016 14:00-19:00

  Salle Delors, CEPII, 113 rue de Grenelle 75007 Paris

  Workshop - “BIG DATA AND MIGRATION: THE NEXT FRONTIER IN MIGRATION MEASUREMENT AND ANALYSIS -

  Résumé

  Agenda
  Session 1: 16:00 – 17:30
  Simone Bertoli, (CERDI, University of Auvergne):
  “So Little Data: Existing Information Sources on International Migration Flows”
  Fosca Gianotti, (Information Science and Technology Institute, Pisa):
  “Data-driven models of human mobility”
  Discussant: Frédéric Docquier, Catholic University of Louvain
  
  Coffee Break: 17:30 – 18:00
  
  Session 2: 18:00 – 19:00
  Dino Pedreschi, (University of Pisa):
  “Big Data, Diversity and Wellbeing”
  Discussant: Philipp Ketz, Paris School of Economics

• Mardi 20 septembre 2016 16:30-19:00

  MSE, 6ème étage

  CHORT Isabelle (Université Paris-Dauphine) : Migration and climate change: Evidence from Mexico

  Maelys de la Rupelle

  Résumé

  Clément IMBERT (University of Warwick) Short-term Migration, Rural Public Works and Urban Labor Markets: Evidence from India écrit avec John Papp

• Mardi 1er septembre 2015 12:30-13:30

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