“Scenario planning for an A(G)I future” by Anton Korinek

This talk explores the potential trajectories of artificial intelligence development and its economic implications. We will discuss three scenarios ranging from business-as-usual to the emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI) within 5-20 years. The presentation will examine how these scenarios could impact economic growth, wages, and labor markets. We’ll also consider the importance of adaptive policy frameworks and scenario planning to navigate the uncertainties surrounding AI advancement and its societal effects.

Anton Korinek

Anton Korinek is a Professor at the University of Virginia, Department of Economics and Darden School of Business as well as a Nonresident Fellow at the Brookings Institution, a Research Associate at the NBER, a Research Fellow at the CEPR and the Economics of AI Lead at the Centre for the Governance of AI. He received his PhD from Columbia University in 2007 after several years of work experience in the IT and financial sectors. He has also worked at Johns Hopkins and at the University of Maryland and has been a visiting scholar at Harvard University, the World Bank, the IMF, the BIS and numerous central banks.