Valerie Ramey: “Do temporary cash transfers stimulate the macroeconomy?”

Lecture

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Location 48 Boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris, France

Location Daniel Cohen Amphitheater

Presence On site

Hourly

The International Macroeconomics Chair has the pleasure to invite you to a lecture given by Valerie Ramey (University of California San Diego).

speaker : Valerie Ramey

The conference will be held at the Paris School of Economics and will be followed by a discussion with Etienne Fize (PSE, IPP).

Abstract

Do Temporary Cash Transfers Stimulate the Macroeconomy? Evidence from Four Case Studies

This paper re-evaluates the effectiveness of temporary transfers in stimulating the macroeconomy, using evidence from four case studies. The rebirth of Keynesian stabilization policy has lingering costs in terms of higher debt paths, so it is important to assess the benefits of these policies. In each case study, Valerie Ramey analyzes whether the behavior of the aggregate data is consistent with the transfers providing an effective stimulus. Two of the case studies are reviews of evidence from her recent work on the 2001 and 2008 U.S. tax rebates. The other two case studies are new analyses of temporary transfers in Singapore and Australia. In all four instances, the evidence suggests that temporary cash transfers to households likely provided little or no stimulus to the macroeconomy.

Valerie Ramey

Valerie Ramey received her B.A. with a double major in Economics and Spanish from the University of Arizona, graduating summa cum laude. She went on to earn a Ph.D. in Economics from Stanford University. She is currently a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University, a Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego and a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

She is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and a Fellow of the Econometric Society. She has served as co-editor of the American Economic Review, chair of the Economics Department at UCSD, and as a member of several National Science Foundation Advisory Panels and the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee.

She currently serves on the Panel of Economic Advisers for the Congressional Budget Office and on the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, and she is an associate editor of the Quarterly Journal of Economics and the Journal of Political Economy.

The International Macroeconomics Chair is the result of a partnership between the Banque de France and PSE. Sharing the same vision about scientific needs on international issues, these two organisations joint their efforts to build a chair with the objective of fostering the development of research on the financial & monetary international system, and in international Macroeconomics.

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