Nowcasting

Workshop

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Location 48 Boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris, France

Location R2-21

Presence On site

Hourly

The Paris School of Economics is pleased to invite you to the "Nowcasting" workshop organized by the Measurement in Economics Chair.

Program

Chair: Catherine Doz (PSE, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

9:00 – Registration

9:15 – Welcome by Jean-Olivier Hairault (Director of PSE) and Catherine Doz (PSE, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

9:30-10:20 – Michele Modugno (Federal Reserve Board)
Back to the present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model

10:20-11:10 – Gabriel Perez-Quiros (Banco de Espana)
TBA

11:10-11:40 – Break

11:40-12:30 – Ivan Petrella (Warwick Business School)
Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: Secular Trends, Large Shocks and New Data

12:30-14:00 – Lunch

Chair: Laurent Ferrara (SKEMA Business School)

14:00-14:50 – Danilo Leiva-Leon (Banco de Espana)
Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions

14:50-15:40 – Heiner Mikosch (ETH Zurich, KOF)
Tracking Economic Activity With Alternative High-Frequency Data

15:40-16:10 – Break

16:10-17:00 – Scott Brave (Morning Consult)
Introducing CARTS: A New Index Tracking National Retail Spending

17:00 – General discussion

17:20 – Adjourn

The Measurement in Economics Chair aims to contribute to the progress of economic statistics methods, by promoting the mobilization of new sources and the development of very short-term forecasting tools (Nowcasting), and by continuing the reflections initiated from the Stiglitz Commission on a deepening of the statistical measurement of economic performance and well-being (Beyond GDP). On these two components, the objective of the chair is to better meet the expectations of private and public decision-makers, and more broadly of the social demand on these subjects.

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