A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models

Journal article: Is maximum likelihood suitable for factor models in large cross-sections of time series? We answer this question from both an asymptotic and an empirical perspective. We show that estimates of the common factors based on maximum likelihood are consistent for the size of the cross-section (n) and the sample size (T) going to in¯nity along any path and that maximum likelihood is viable for n large. The estimator is robust to misspecification of cross-sectional and time series correlation of the idiosyncratic components. In practice, the estimator can be easily implemented using the Kalman smoother and the EM algorithm as in traditional factor analysis.

Author(s)

Catherine Doz, Domenico Giannone, Lucrezia Reichlin

Journal
  • Review of Economics and Statistics
Date of publication
  • 2012
Keywords JEL
C32
Keywords
  • Time Series
  • Misspecification
  • Factor Analysis
Pages
  • 1014-1024
Version
  • 1
Volume
  • 94