Forthcoming : Compensating against fuel price inflation: Price subsidies or transfers?

Journal article: Compensating agents against substantial and sudden shocks requires both targeting tax policies and taking behavioral responses into account. Based on transaction-level data from France, this article exploits quasi-experimental variation provided by 2022 fuel price inflation and excise tax cuts. After disentangling anticipation from price effects, we estimate a price elasticity of fuel demand of -0.31, on average, which varies little with respect to income and location but substantially decreases with fuel spending, in absolute value. Using targeted transfers only achieves imperfect compensation, yet a budget-constrained policy-maker seeking to alleviate excessive losses relative to income prefers income-based transfers to price subsidies.

Author(s)

Odran Bonnet, Étienne Fize, Tristan Loisel, Lionel Wilner

Journal
  • Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
Date of publication
  • 2024
Keywords
  • Commodity taxation
  • Excise fuel tax
  • Tax-and-transfer schemes
  • Gasoline price elasticity
  • Anticipatory behavior
  • Transaction-level data
Version
  • 1