Equilibrium risk shifting and interest rate in an opaque financial system
Journal article: We analyse the risk-taking behaviour of heterogenous intermediaries that are protected by limited liability and choose both their amount of leverage and the risk exposure of their portfolio. Due to the opacity of the financial sector, outside providers of funds cannot distinguish“prudent” intermediaries from those“imprudent” ones that voluntarily hold high-risk portfolios and expose themselves to the risk of bankrupcy. We show how the number of imprudent intermediaries is determined in equilibrium jointly with the interest rate, and how both ultimately depend on the cross-sectional distribution of intermediaries'capital. One implication of our analysis is that an exogenous increase in the supply of funds to the intermediary sector lowers interest rates and raises the number of imprudent intermediaries. Another one is that easy financing may lead an increasing number of intermediaries to gamble for resurection following a bad shock to the sector 'scapital, again raising economywide systemic risk.
Author(s)
Edouard Challe, Benoît Mojon, Xavier Ragot
Journal
- European Economic Review
Date of publication
- 2013
Keywords JEL
Keywords
- Risk shifting
- Portfolio correlation
- Financial opacity
- Risk shifting
Internal reference
- 2441/dc0ckec3fcb29ms9850cia1sj
Pages
- 117 – 133
URL of the HAL notice
Version
- 1
Volume
- 63