The first-mover advantage in penalty shoot-outs: Really?
Journal article: The paper analyses sequences of penalty kicks during football shoot-outs in French cup competitions. We consider the psychological effects to which the kicker is subject: the “fear” of winning, the “fear” of losing, and the “fear” of catching up his opponent. Our main conclusion is that the performance (the probability of scoring) is negatively affected by both what is at stake and the difficulty of the situation. We find no advantage for the team that takes the first kick.
Author(s)
Luc Arrondel, Richard Duhautois, Jean-François Laslier
Journal
- Statistique et Société
Date of publication
- 2020
Keywords
- Penalty shoot-outs
- First-mover advantage
- Emotions
- Pressure
Pages
- 49-59
URL of the HAL notice
Version
- 1
Volume
- 8