Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents

Journal article: We propose a novel methodology for forecasting chaotic systems which is based on exploiting the information conveyed by the local Lyapunov exponents of a system. This information is used to correct for the inevitable bias of most non-parametric predictors. Using simulated data, we show that gains in prediction accuracy can be substantial.

Author(s)

Dominique Guegan, Justin Leroux

Journal
  • Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
Date of publication
  • 2009
Keywords
  • Chaotic systems
Pages
  • 2401-2404
Version
  • 2
Volume
  • 41