Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents
Journal article: We propose a novel methodology for forecasting chaotic systems which is based on exploiting the information conveyed by the local Lyapunov exponents of a system. This information is used to correct for the inevitable bias of most non-parametric predictors. Using simulated data, we show that gains in prediction accuracy can be substantial.
Author(s)
Dominique Guegan, Justin Leroux
Journal
- Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
Date of publication
- 2009
Keywords
- Chaotic systems
Pages
- 2401-2404
URL of the HAL notice
Version
- 2
Volume
- 41