Imperfect Credibility versus No Credibility of Optimal Monetary Policy
Pre-print, Working paper: When the probability of not reneging commitment of optimal monetary policy under quasi-commitment tends to zero, the limit of this equilibrium is qualitatively and quantitatively different from the discretion equilibrium assuming a zero probability of not reneging commitment for the classic example of the new-Keynesian Phillips curve. The impulse response functions and welfare are different. The policy rule parameter have opposite signs. The inflation auto-correlation parameter crosses a saddlenode bifurcation when shit.ng to near-zero to zero probability of not reneging commitment. These results are obtained for all values of the elasticity of substitution between goods in monopolistic competition which enters in the welfare loss function and in the slope of the new-Keynesian Phillips curve.
Keywords JEL
Keywords
- New-Keynesian Phillips curve
- Credibility
- Discretionary policy
- Ramsey optimal policy
Internal reference
- PSE Working Papers n°2018-39
URL of the HAL notice
Version
- 1