Sleeping Beauty and the absent-minded driver

Journal article: The Sleeping Beauty problem is presented in a formalized framework which summarizes the underlying probability structure. The two rival solutions proposed by Elga (Analysis 60:143-147, 2000) and Lewis (Analysis 61:171-176, 2001) differ by a single parameter concerning her prior probability. They can be supported by considering, respectively, that Sleeping Beauty is "fuzzy-minded" and "blank-minded", the first interpretation being more natural than the second. The traditional absent-minded driver problem is reinterpreted in this framework and sustains Elga's solution.

Author(s)

Jean Baratgin, Bernard Walliser

Journal
  • Theory and Decision
Date of publication
  • 2010
Keywords
  • Absent-mindedness
  • Belief revision
  • Probability
  • Sleeping Beauty problem
Pages
  • 489-496
Version
  • 1
Volume
  • 69